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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. North Macedonia. First League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 423, period of time : 02-15-2020 - 05-15-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.38, variance V = 2.54, SD = 1.60, E/V = 0.94, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 45.4%, draw = 25.8%, P2 = 28.8%, total 0 = 10.9%, over 2.5 = 43.0%, under 2.5 = 57.0%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

North Macedonia. First League: Poisson and Total PDF
North Macedonia. First League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.34, variance V = 1.49, SD = 1.22, E/V = 0.90, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

North Macedonia. First League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.04, variance V = 1.18, SD = 1.09, E/V = 0.88, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

North Macedonia. First League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.30, variance V = 2.79, SD = 1.67, E/V = 0.11, Min = -6, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

North Macedonia. First League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Thursday
05-26-2022
10:42:58 UTC