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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. North Macedonia. First League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 465, period of time : 02-15-2020 - 09-18-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.38, variance V = 2.48, SD = 1.57, E/V = 0.96, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 46.2%, draw = 25.2%, P2 = 28.6%, total 0 = 10.3%, over 2.5 = 43.0%, under 2.5 = 57.0%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

North Macedonia. First League: Poisson and Total PDF
North Macedonia. First League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.36, variance V = 1.50, SD = 1.23, E/V = 0.90, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

North Macedonia. First League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.03, variance V = 1.17, SD = 1.08, E/V = 0.88, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

North Macedonia. First League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.33, variance V = 2.85, SD = 1.69, E/V = 0.12, Min = -6, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

North Macedonia. First League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
09-28-2022
09:09:08 UTC