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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. North Macedonia. First League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 706, period of time : 02-15-2020 - 02-24-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.39, variance V = 2.55, SD = 1.60, E/V = 0.94, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 46.5%, draw = 25.5%, P2 = 28.1%, total 0 = 10.6%, over 2.5 = 43.3%, under 2.5 = 56.7%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

North Macedonia. First League: Poisson and Total PDF
North Macedonia. First League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.36, variance V = 1.48, SD = 1.21, E/V = 0.92, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

North Macedonia. First League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.03, variance V = 1.24, SD = 1.12, E/V = 0.83, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

North Macedonia. First League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.33, variance V = 2.89, SD = 1.70, E/V = 0.11, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

North Macedonia. First League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Monday
03-04-2024
04:31:35 UTC