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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Uruguay. Primera Division

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2744, period of time : 08-30-2014 - 07-14-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.55, variance V = 2.58, SD = 1.61, E/V = 0.99, Min = 0, Max = 11
P1 = 39.8%, draw = 27.2%, P2 = 33.1%, total 0 = 8.1%, over 2.5 = 47.3%, under 2.5 = 52.7%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Uruguay. Primera Division: Poisson and Total PDF
Uruguay. Primera Division: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.34, variance V = 1.34, SD = 1.16, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Uruguay. Primera Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.21, variance V = 1.26, SD = 1.12, E/V = 0.96, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Uruguay. Primera Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.14, variance V = 2.62, SD = 1.62, E/V = 0.05, Min = -6, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Uruguay. Primera Division: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Saturday
12-14-2024
15:57:46 UTC