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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Uruguay. Primera Division

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2679, period of time : 12-01-2012 - 10-30-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.61, variance V = 2.68, SD = 1.64, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 11
P1 = 40.0%, draw = 26.1%, P2 = 33.9%, total 0 = 7.5%, over 2.5 = 48.7%, under 2.5 = 51.3%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Uruguay. Primera Division: Poisson and Total PDF
Uruguay. Primera Division: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.37, variance V = 1.40, SD = 1.18, E/V = 0.98, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Uruguay. Primera Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.24, variance V = 1.29, SD = 1.14, E/V = 0.96, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Uruguay. Primera Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.13, variance V = 2.69, SD = 1.64, E/V = 0.05, Min = -6, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Uruguay. Primera Division: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Thursday
12-08-2022
06:31:47 UTC