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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Uruguay. Primera Division

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2727, period of time : 08-16-2014 - 06-09-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.56, variance V = 2.59, SD = 1.61, E/V = 0.99, Min = 0, Max = 11
P1 = 39.8%, draw = 27.1%, P2 = 33.2%, total 0 = 8.1%, over 2.5 = 47.5%, under 2.5 = 52.5%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Uruguay. Primera Division: Poisson and Total PDF
Uruguay. Primera Division: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.35, variance V = 1.35, SD = 1.16, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Uruguay. Primera Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.21, variance V = 1.25, SD = 1.12, E/V = 0.96, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Uruguay. Primera Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.14, variance V = 2.62, SD = 1.62, E/V = 0.05, Min = -6, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Uruguay. Primera Division: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Saturday
06-15-2024
10:28:17 UTC