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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Uruguay. Primera Division

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2609, period of time : 05-12-2012 - 05-09-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.66, variance V = 2.74, SD = 1.66, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 11
P1 = 40.3%, draw = 26.1%, P2 = 33.7%, total 0 = 7.3%, over 2.5 = 49.6%, under 2.5 = 50.4%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Uruguay. Primera Division: Poisson and Total PDF
Uruguay. Primera Division: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.39, variance V = 1.41, SD = 1.19, E/V = 0.98, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Uruguay. Primera Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.26, variance V = 1.32, SD = 1.15, E/V = 0.95, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Uruguay. Primera Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.13, variance V = 2.73, SD = 1.65, E/V = 0.05, Min = -6, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Uruguay. Primera Division: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Thursday
05-19-2022
08:31:24 UTC