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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Faroe Islands. Premier League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 201, period of time : 08-02-2020 - 11-07-2021


Match total

Average per match E = 3.64, variance V = 3.99, SD = 2.00, E/V = 0.91, Min = 0, Max = 11
P1 = 46.3%, draw = 16.4%, P2 = 37.3%, total 0 = 3.5%, over 2.5 = 69.2%, under 2.5 = 30.8%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Faroe Islands. Premier League: Poisson and Total PDF
Faroe Islands. Premier League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.97, variance V = 3.34, SD = 1.83, E/V = 0.59, Min = 0, Max = 11
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Faroe Islands. Premier League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.67, variance V = 2.85, SD = 1.69, E/V = 0.58, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Faroe Islands. Premier League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.30, variance V = 8.39, SD = 2.90, E/V = 0.04, Min = -9, Max = 11
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Faroe Islands. Premier League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Tuesday
01-18-2022
17:15:01 UTC