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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Italy. Serie A

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 3834, period of time : 01-15-2012 - 01-11-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.79, variance V = 2.85, SD = 1.69, E/V = 0.98, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 44.1%, draw = 25.1%, P2 = 30.8%, total 0 = 7.1%, over 2.5 = 53.1%, under 2.5 = 46.9%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Italy. Serie A: Poisson and Total PDF
Italy. Serie A: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.54, variance V = 1.61, SD = 1.27, E/V = 0.96, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Italy. Serie A: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.25, variance V = 1.35, SD = 1.16, E/V = 0.92, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Italy. Serie A: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.29, variance V = 3.08, SD = 1.75, E/V = 0.10, Min = -7, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Italy. Serie A: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Monday
01-17-2022
10:51:15 UTC