To the Heroes Glory!

# Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Italy. Serie A

## Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 3801, period of time : 08-30-2014 - 06-02-2024

### Match total

Average per match E = 2.77, variance V = 2.75, SD = 1.66, E/V = 1.01, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 42.7%, draw = 25.7%, P2 = 31.6%, total 0 = 6.7%, over 2.5 = 53.0%, under 2.5 = 47.0%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

### Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.52, variance V = 1.60, SD = 1.26, E/V = 0.95, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

### Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.25, variance V = 1.33, SD = 1.15, E/V = 0.95, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

### Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.26, variance V = 3.09, SD = 1.76, E/V = 0.08, Min = -7, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Page time:

Tuesday
09-10-2024
08:07:33 UTC