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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Italy. Serie A

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 3770, period of time : 02-01-2013 - 01-27-2023


Match total

Average per match E = 2.78, variance V = 2.82, SD = 1.68, E/V = 0.99, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 43.3%, draw = 25.2%, P2 = 31.5%, total 0 = 6.8%, over 2.5 = 53.2%, under 2.5 = 46.8%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Italy. Serie A: Poisson and Total PDF
Italy. Serie A: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.53, variance V = 1.61, SD = 1.27, E/V = 0.95, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Italy. Serie A: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.25, variance V = 1.35, SD = 1.16, E/V = 0.93, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Italy. Serie A: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.28, variance V = 3.10, SD = 1.76, E/V = 0.09, Min = -7, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Italy. Serie A: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Sunday
01-29-2023
03:13:11 UTC