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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Italy. Serie A

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 3790, period of time : 04-19-2014 - 04-15-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.78, variance V = 2.77, SD = 1.66, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 42.9%, draw = 25.5%, P2 = 31.6%, total 0 = 6.6%, over 2.5 = 53.1%, under 2.5 = 46.9%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Italy. Serie A: Poisson and Total PDF
Italy. Serie A: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.52, variance V = 1.60, SD = 1.27, E/V = 0.95, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Italy. Serie A: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.25, variance V = 1.33, SD = 1.15, E/V = 0.94, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Italy. Serie A: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.27, variance V = 3.10, SD = 1.76, E/V = 0.09, Min = -7, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Italy. Serie A: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Friday
04-19-2024
09:41:44 UTC