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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Brazil. Serie A

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 3861, period of time : 05-29-2013 - 05-27-2023


Match total

Average per match E = 2.35, variance V = 2.34, SD = 1.53, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 48.7%, draw = 26.9%, P2 = 24.4%, total 0 = 8.9%, over 2.5 = 42.4%, under 2.5 = 57.6%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Brazilian football (soccer) championship - Serie A: Poisson and Total PDF
Brazilian football (soccer) championship - Serie A: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.41, variance V = 1.34, SD = 1.16, E/V = 1.05, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Brazilian football (soccer) championship - Serie A: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 0.95, variance V = 0.94, SD = 0.97, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Brazilian football (soccer) championship - Serie A: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.46, variance V = 2.21, SD = 1.49, E/V = 0.21, Min = -5, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Brazilian football (soccer) championship - Serie A: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Tuesday
05-30-2023
04:12:47 UTC