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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Brazil. Serie A

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 3859, period of time : 05-19-2012 - 05-15-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.36, variance V = 2.37, SD = 1.54, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 49.0%, draw = 27.0%, P2 = 24.0%, total 0 = 9.2%, over 2.5 = 42.5%, under 2.5 = 57.5%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Brazilian football (soccer) championship - Serie A: Poisson and Total PDF
Brazilian football (soccer) championship - Serie A: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.42, variance V = 1.34, SD = 1.16, E/V = 1.06, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Brazilian football (soccer) championship - Serie A: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 0.94, variance V = 0.95, SD = 0.97, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Brazilian football (soccer) championship - Serie A: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.47, variance V = 2.20, SD = 1.48, E/V = 0.21, Min = -5, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Brazilian football (soccer) championship - Serie A: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Thursday
05-26-2022
10:53:27 UTC