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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Brazil. Serie A

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 3820, period of time : 09-22-2012 - 09-19-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.35, variance V = 2.35, SD = 1.53, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 48.7%, draw = 27.2%, P2 = 24.1%, total 0 = 9.1%, over 2.5 = 42.0%, under 2.5 = 58.0%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Brazilian football (soccer) championship - Serie A: Poisson and Total PDF
Brazilian football (soccer) championship - Serie A: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.41, variance V = 1.33, SD = 1.15, E/V = 1.05, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Brazilian football (soccer) championship - Serie A: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 0.94, variance V = 0.94, SD = 0.97, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Brazilian football (soccer) championship - Serie A: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.47, variance V = 2.19, SD = 1.48, E/V = 0.21, Min = -5, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Brazilian football (soccer) championship - Serie A: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
09-28-2022
09:23:08 UTC