To the Heroes Glory!

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Brazil. Serie A

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 3774, period of time : 07-16-2014 - 06-05-2024

Match total

Average per match E = 2.35, variance V = 2.35, SD = 1.53, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 48.5%, draw = 26.7%, P2 = 24.8%, total 0 = 8.7%, over 2.5 = 42.3%, under 2.5 = 57.7%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.40, variance V = 1.34, SD = 1.16, E/V = 1.05, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 0.95, variance V = 0.96, SD = 0.98, E/V = 0.99, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.45, variance V = 2.24, SD = 1.50, E/V = 0.20, Min = -5, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Page time:

Saturday
06-15-2024
20:08:45 UTC