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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Brazil. Serie A

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 3818, period of time : 04-26-2014 - 04-21-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.35, variance V = 2.35, SD = 1.53, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 48.6%, draw = 26.7%, P2 = 24.7%, total 0 = 8.7%, over 2.5 = 42.2%, under 2.5 = 57.8%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Brazilian football (soccer) championship - Serie A: Poisson and Total PDF
Brazilian football (soccer) championship - Serie A: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.40, variance V = 1.34, SD = 1.16, E/V = 1.05, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Brazilian football (soccer) championship - Serie A: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 0.95, variance V = 0.95, SD = 0.97, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Brazilian football (soccer) championship - Serie A: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.45, variance V = 2.23, SD = 1.49, E/V = 0.20, Min = -5, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Brazilian football (soccer) championship - Serie A: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Friday
04-26-2024
13:46:34 UTC