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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Spain. Cup

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 690, period of time : 12-06-2013 - 01-26-2023


Match total

Average per match E = 2.73, variance V = 2.84, SD = 1.69, E/V = 0.96, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 38.1%, draw = 27.0%, P2 = 34.9%, total 0 = 6.7%, over 2.5 = 50.6%, under 2.5 = 49.4%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Spain. Cup: Poisson and Total PDF
Spain. Cup: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.41, variance V = 1.85, SD = 1.36, E/V = 0.77, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Spain. Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.32, variance V = 1.60, SD = 1.27, E/V = 0.82, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Spain. Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.09, variance V = 4.05, SD = 2.01, E/V = 0.02, Min = -6, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Spain. Cup: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Monday
02-06-2023
12:54:13 UTC