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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Spain. Cup

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 697, period of time : 10-29-2014 - 04-06-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.71, variance V = 2.82, SD = 1.68, E/V = 0.96, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 36.3%, draw = 27.4%, P2 = 36.3%, total 0 = 6.9%, over 2.5 = 50.4%, under 2.5 = 49.6%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Spain. Cup: Poisson and Total PDF
Spain. Cup: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.36, variance V = 1.77, SD = 1.33, E/V = 0.77, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Spain. Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.35, variance V = 1.61, SD = 1.27, E/V = 0.84, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Spain. Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.02, variance V = 3.93, SD = 1.98, E/V = 0.00, Min = -6, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Spain. Cup: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Friday
05-24-2024
16:46:24 UTC