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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Spain. Cup

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 544, period of time : 10-11-2016 - 04-06-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.67, variance V = 2.74, SD = 1.66, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 33.5%, draw = 28.3%, P2 = 38.2%, total 0 = 7.0%, over 2.5 = 49.3%, under 2.5 = 50.7%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Spain. Cup: Poisson and Total PDF
Spain. Cup: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.28, variance V = 1.62, SD = 1.27, E/V = 0.79, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Spain. Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.39, variance V = 1.66, SD = 1.29, E/V = 0.84, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Spain. Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = -0.10, variance V = 3.81, SD = 1.95, E/V = -0.03, Min = -6, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Spain. Cup: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
10-28-2026
09:04:54 UTC