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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Andorra. Primera Division

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 273, period of time : 11-29-2020 - 03-12-2023


Match total

Average per match E = 3.01, variance V = 3.77, SD = 1.94, E/V = 0.80, Min = 0, Max = 12
P1 = 37.7%, draw = 26.4%, P2 = 35.9%, total 0 = 7.0%, over 2.5 = 54.9%, under 2.5 = 45.0%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Andorra. Primera Division: Poisson and Total PDF
Andorra. Primera Division: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.53, variance V = 2.79, SD = 1.67, E/V = 0.55, Min = 0, Max = 12
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Andorra. Primera Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.47, variance V = 2.02, SD = 1.42, E/V = 0.73, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Andorra. Primera Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.06, variance V = 5.85, SD = 2.42, E/V = 0.01, Min = -8, Max = 12
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Andorra. Primera Division: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Sunday
03-26-2023
14:24:51 UTC