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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Andorra. Primera Division

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 181, period of time : 11-29-2020 - 05-08-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.97, variance V = 3.50, SD = 1.87, E/V = 0.85, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 38.1%, draw = 25.4%, P2 = 36.5%, total 0 = 7.2%, over 2.5 = 54.1%, under 2.5 = 45.9%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Andorra. Primera Division: Poisson and Total PDF
Andorra. Primera Division: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.45, variance V = 2.08, SD = 1.44, E/V = 0.70, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Andorra. Primera Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.52, variance V = 2.26, SD = 1.50, E/V = 0.67, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Andorra. Primera Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = -0.07, variance V = 5.19, SD = 2.28, E/V = -0.01, Min = -8, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Andorra. Primera Division: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Thursday
05-19-2022
11:04:00 UTC