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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Andorra. Primera Division

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 199, period of time : 11-29-2020 - 09-18-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.98, variance V = 3.56, SD = 1.89, E/V = 0.84, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 36.7%, draw = 26.1%, P2 = 37.2%, total 0 = 7.0%, over 2.5 = 54.8%, under 2.5 = 45.2%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Andorra. Primera Division: Poisson and Total PDF
Andorra. Primera Division: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.46, variance V = 2.20, SD = 1.48, E/V = 0.66, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Andorra. Primera Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.52, variance V = 2.14, SD = 1.46, E/V = 0.71, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Andorra. Primera Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = -0.06, variance V = 5.12, SD = 2.26, E/V = -0.01, Min = -8, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Andorra. Primera Division: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
09-28-2022
18:16:32 UTC