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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. England. League 2

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 5467, period of time : 04-08-2014 - 04-06-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.55, variance V = 2.57, SD = 1.60, E/V = 0.99, Min = 0, Max = 11
P1 = 42.1%, draw = 26.8%, P2 = 31.1%, total 0 = 8.0%, over 2.5 = 47.0%, under 2.5 = 53.0%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

England. League 2: Poisson and Total PDF
England. League 2: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.39, variance V = 1.39, SD = 1.18, E/V = 0.99, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

England. League 2: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.16, variance V = 1.18, SD = 1.09, E/V = 0.98, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

England. League 2: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.23, variance V = 2.58, SD = 1.61, E/V = 0.09, Min = -6, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

England. League 2: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Tuesday
04-16-2024
13:44:44 UTC