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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. England. League 2

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 5436, period of time : 02-02-2013 - 01-31-2023


Match total

Average per match E = 2.49, variance V = 2.47, SD = 1.57, E/V = 1.01, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 41.7%, draw = 27.2%, P2 = 31.1%, total 0 = 8.5%, over 2.5 = 46.0%, under 2.5 = 54.0%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

England. League 2: Poisson and Total PDF
England. League 2: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.36, variance V = 1.36, SD = 1.16, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

England. League 2: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.13, variance V = 1.13, SD = 1.06, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

England. League 2: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.22, variance V = 2.50, SD = 1.58, E/V = 0.09, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

England. League 2: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
02-08-2023
23:47:43 UTC