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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. England. League 2

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 5455, period of time : 05-17-2012 - 05-15-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.51, variance V = 2.51, SD = 1.58, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 41.4%, draw = 27.3%, P2 = 31.3%, total 0 = 8.5%, over 2.5 = 46.6%, under 2.5 = 53.4%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

England. League 2: Poisson and Total PDF
England. League 2: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.37, variance V = 1.38, SD = 1.18, E/V = 0.99, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

England. League 2: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.15, variance V = 1.14, SD = 1.07, E/V = 1.01, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

England. League 2: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.22, variance V = 2.54, SD = 1.59, E/V = 0.09, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

England. League 2: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Thursday
05-26-2022
10:52:47 UTC