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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Spain. Federation Cup

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 30, period of time : 10-28-2020 - 09-28-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 1.90, variance V = 1.68, SD = 1.30, E/V = 1.13, Min = 0, Max = 5
P1 = 36.7%, draw = 26.7%, P2 = 36.7%, total 0 = 13.3%, over 2.5 = 33.3%, under 2.5 = 66.7%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Spain. Federation Cup: Poisson and Total PDF
Spain. Federation Cup: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 0.87, variance V = 0.74, SD = 0.86, E/V = 1.17, Min = 0, Max = 3
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Spain. Federation Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.03, variance V = 1.07, SD = 1.03, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 4
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Spain. Federation Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = -0.17, variance V = 1.94, SD = 1.39, E/V = -0.09, Min = -4, Max = 3
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Spain. Federation Cup: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Monday
12-05-2022
04:58:00 UTC