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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Finland. Veikkausliga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1740, period of time : 08-31-2014 - 07-15-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.58, variance V = 2.60, SD = 1.61, E/V = 0.99, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 42.2%, draw = 26.3%, P2 = 31.5%, total 0 = 8.7%, over 2.5 = 47.6%, under 2.5 = 52.4%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Finland. Veikkausliga: Poisson and Total PDF
Finland. Veikkausliga: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.39, variance V = 1.47, SD = 1.21, E/V = 0.94, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Finland. Veikkausliga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.18, variance V = 1.29, SD = 1.13, E/V = 0.92, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Finland. Veikkausliga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.21, variance V = 2.92, SD = 1.71, E/V = 0.07, Min = -7, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Finland. Veikkausliga: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Tuesday
12-03-2024
08:53:55 UTC