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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Finland. Veikkausliga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1324, period of time : 09-25-2016 - 07-15-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.65, variance V = 2.66, SD = 1.63, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 41.1%, draw = 25.7%, P2 = 33.2%, total 0 = 8.1%, over 2.5 = 49.6%, under 2.5 = 50.4%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Finland. Veikkausliga: Poisson and Total PDF
Finland. Veikkausliga: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.41, variance V = 1.53, SD = 1.23, E/V = 0.92, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Finland. Veikkausliga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.24, variance V = 1.32, SD = 1.15, E/V = 0.94, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Finland. Veikkausliga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.17, variance V = 3.03, SD = 1.74, E/V = 0.06, Min = -7, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Finland. Veikkausliga: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Friday
10-16-2026
18:10:14 UTC