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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Finland. Veikkausliga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1838, period of time : 09-22-2012 - 09-18-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.55, variance V = 2.66, SD = 1.63, E/V = 0.96, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 43.3%, draw = 26.6%, P2 = 30.2%, total 0 = 9.0%, over 2.5 = 46.5%, under 2.5 = 53.5%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Finland. Veikkausliga: Poisson and Total PDF
Finland. Veikkausliga: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.40, variance V = 1.50, SD = 1.23, E/V = 0.93, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Finland. Veikkausliga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.15, variance V = 1.28, SD = 1.13, E/V = 0.90, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Finland. Veikkausliga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.25, variance V = 2.90, SD = 1.70, E/V = 0.09, Min = -6, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Finland. Veikkausliga: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
09-28-2022
10:00:49 UTC