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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Finland. Veikkausliga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1801, period of time : 04-12-2014 - 04-06-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.54, variance V = 2.56, SD = 1.60, E/V = 0.99, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 42.6%, draw = 26.3%, P2 = 31.0%, total 0 = 8.7%, over 2.5 = 46.4%, under 2.5 = 53.6%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Finland. Veikkausliga: Poisson and Total PDF
Finland. Veikkausliga: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.39, variance V = 1.47, SD = 1.21, E/V = 0.95, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Finland. Veikkausliga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.16, variance V = 1.25, SD = 1.12, E/V = 0.92, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Finland. Veikkausliga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.23, variance V = 2.88, SD = 1.70, E/V = 0.08, Min = -6, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Finland. Veikkausliga: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Saturday
04-20-2024
10:19:36 UTC