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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Finland. Veikkausliga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1799, period of time : 09-21-2013 - 09-17-2023


Match total

Average per match E = 2.56, variance V = 2.60, SD = 1.61, E/V = 0.98, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 42.7%, draw = 26.2%, P2 = 31.1%, total 0 = 8.6%, over 2.5 = 46.6%, under 2.5 = 53.4%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Finland. Veikkausliga: Poisson and Total PDF
Finland. Veikkausliga: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.40, variance V = 1.49, SD = 1.22, E/V = 0.94, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Finland. Veikkausliga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.17, variance V = 1.27, SD = 1.13, E/V = 0.92, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Finland. Veikkausliga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.23, variance V = 2.91, SD = 1.71, E/V = 0.08, Min = -6, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Finland. Veikkausliga: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Saturday
09-23-2023
14:45:36 UTC