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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Germany. 3 Liga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1332, period of time : 02-28-2020 - 09-24-2023


Match total

Average per match E = 2.78, variance V = 2.86, SD = 1.69, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 41.6%, draw = 26.1%, P2 = 32.3%, total 0 = 6.7%, over 2.5 = 51.6%, under 2.5 = 48.4%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Germany. 3 Liga: Poisson and Total PDF
Germany. 3 Liga: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.49, variance V = 1.63, SD = 1.27, E/V = 0.92, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Germany. 3 Liga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.29, variance V = 1.33, SD = 1.15, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Germany. 3 Liga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.21, variance V = 3.04, SD = 1.74, E/V = 0.07, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Germany. 3 Liga: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Thursday
09-28-2023
12:09:08 UTC