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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Germany. 3 Liga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 709, period of time : 02-28-2020 - 12-20-2021


Match total

Average per match E = 2.72, variance V = 2.81, SD = 1.68, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 39.8%, draw = 27.9%, P2 = 32.3%, total 0 = 7.6%, over 2.5 = 50.2%, under 2.5 = 49.8%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Germany. 3 Liga: Poisson and Total PDF
Germany. 3 Liga: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.44, variance V = 1.61, SD = 1.27, E/V = 0.90, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Germany. 3 Liga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.27, variance V = 1.25, SD = 1.12, E/V = 1.02, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Germany. 3 Liga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.17, variance V = 2.90, SD = 1.70, E/V = 0.06, Min = -6, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Germany. 3 Liga: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Monday
01-17-2022
11:08:21 UTC