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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Germany. 3 Liga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 883, period of time : 02-28-2020 - 05-14-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.73, variance V = 2.96, SD = 1.72, E/V = 0.92, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 40.0%, draw = 27.0%, P2 = 33.1%, total 0 = 7.4%, over 2.5 = 49.9%, under 2.5 = 50.1%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Germany. 3 Liga: Poisson and Total PDF
Germany. 3 Liga: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.45, variance V = 1.65, SD = 1.29, E/V = 0.88, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Germany. 3 Liga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.29, variance V = 1.35, SD = 1.16, E/V = 0.95, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Germany. 3 Liga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.16, variance V = 3.05, SD = 1.75, E/V = 0.05, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Germany. 3 Liga: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
06-29-2022
01:32:48 UTC