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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Germany. 3 Liga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1632, period of time : 02-28-2020 - 05-12-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.79, variance V = 2.90, SD = 1.70, E/V = 0.96, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 42.3%, draw = 26.0%, P2 = 31.7%, total 0 = 6.6%, over 2.5 = 51.9%, under 2.5 = 48.1%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Germany. 3 Liga: Poisson and Total PDF
Germany. 3 Liga: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.51, variance V = 1.62, SD = 1.27, E/V = 0.94, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Germany. 3 Liga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.28, variance V = 1.34, SD = 1.16, E/V = 0.95, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Germany. 3 Liga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.23, variance V = 3.02, SD = 1.74, E/V = 0.08, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Germany. 3 Liga: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
05-22-2024
12:23:38 UTC