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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Spain. Segunda Division

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 4669, period of time : 12-04-2013 - 12-01-2023


Match total

Average per match E = 2.26, variance V = 2.28, SD = 1.51, E/V = 0.99, Min = 0, Max = 12
P1 = 44.6%, draw = 30.7%, P2 = 24.7%, total 0 = 10.9%, over 2.5 = 39.1%, under 2.5 = 60.9%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Spain. Segunda Division: Poisson and Total PDF
Spain. Segunda Division: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.31, variance V = 1.22, SD = 1.10, E/V = 1.08, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Spain. Segunda Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 0.95, variance V = 0.94, SD = 0.97, E/V = 1.01, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Spain. Segunda Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.37, variance V = 2.03, SD = 1.43, E/V = 0.18, Min = -5, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Spain. Segunda Division: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Monday
12-11-2023
09:34:04 UTC