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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Spain. Segunda Division

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 4679, period of time : 12-01-2012 - 11-30-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.30, variance V = 2.36, SD = 1.54, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 12
P1 = 44.8%, draw = 30.3%, P2 = 24.9%, total 0 = 10.8%, over 2.5 = 40.1%, under 2.5 = 59.9%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Spain. Segunda Division: Poisson and Total PDF
Spain. Segunda Division: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.34, variance V = 1.28, SD = 1.13, E/V = 1.04, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Spain. Segunda Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 0.96, variance V = 0.94, SD = 0.97, E/V = 1.02, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Spain. Segunda Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.38, variance V = 2.09, SD = 1.45, E/V = 0.18, Min = -5, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Spain. Segunda Division: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Friday
12-02-2022
20:02:42 UTC