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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Spain. Segunda Division

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 4690, period of time : 12-02-2011 - 11-29-2021


Match total

Average per match E = 2.34, variance V = 2.45, SD = 1.57, E/V = 0.95, Min = 0, Max = 12
P1 = 45.4%, draw = 29.6%, P2 = 25.0%, total 0 = 10.5%, over 2.5 = 41.1%, under 2.5 = 58.9%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Spain. Segunda Division: Poisson and Total PDF
Spain. Segunda Division: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.36, variance V = 1.31, SD = 1.14, E/V = 1.04, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Spain. Segunda Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 0.97, variance V = 1.00, SD = 1.00, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Spain. Segunda Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.39, variance V = 2.17, SD = 1.47, E/V = 0.18, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Spain. Segunda Division: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Sunday
12-05-2021
05:10:42 UTC