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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Belgium. Pro League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 3082, period of time : 05-20-2012 - 05-15-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.90, variance V = 2.77, SD = 1.67, E/V = 1.04, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 45.3%, draw = 23.7%, P2 = 31.0%, total 0 = 5.8%, over 2.5 = 56.3%, under 2.5 = 43.7%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Belgium. Pro League: Poisson and Total PDF
Belgium. Pro League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.61, variance V = 1.67, SD = 1.29, E/V = 0.96, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Belgium. Pro League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.29, variance V = 1.38, SD = 1.17, E/V = 0.93, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Belgium. Pro League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.32, variance V = 3.32, SD = 1.82, E/V = 0.10, Min = -7, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Belgium. Pro League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Thursday
05-26-2022
11:00:36 UTC