To the Heroes Glory!

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Belgium. Pro League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 3118, period of time : 08-08-2014 - 06-02-2024

Match total

Average per match E = 2.92, variance V = 2.76, SD = 1.66, E/V = 1.06, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 44.7%, draw = 23.9%, P2 = 31.4%, total 0 = 5.5%, over 2.5 = 57.2%, under 2.5 = 42.8%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.62, variance V = 1.70, SD = 1.30, E/V = 0.95, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.30, variance V = 1.35, SD = 1.16, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.31, variance V = 3.34, SD = 1.83, E/V = 0.09, Min = -7, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Page time:

Thursday
08-08-2024
16:45:22 UTC