Tournament Table

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Belgium. Pro League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 3110, period of time : 09-21-2012 - 09-18-2022

Match total

Average per match E = 2.89, variance V = 2.76, SD = 1.66, E/V = 1.05, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 45.5%, draw = 23.3%, P2 = 31.3%, total 0 = 5.9%, over 2.5 = 56.5%, under 2.5 = 43.5%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.61, variance V = 1.67, SD = 1.29, E/V = 0.96, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.29, variance V = 1.38, SD = 1.17, E/V = 0.93, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.32, variance V = 3.33, SD = 1.82, E/V = 0.10, Min = -7, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)