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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Romania. Liga 1

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 537, period of time : 02-28-2020 - 11-29-2021


Match total

Average per match E = 2.25, variance V = 2.27, SD = 1.51, E/V = 0.99, Min = 0, Max = 7
P1 = 38.9%, draw = 27.6%, P2 = 33.5%, total 0 = 10.2%, over 2.5 = 39.1%, under 2.5 = 60.9%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Romania. Liga 1: Poisson and Total PDF
Romania. Liga 1: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.22, variance V = 1.40, SD = 1.18, E/V = 0.87, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Romania. Liga 1: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.03, variance V = 0.98, SD = 0.99, E/V = 1.05, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Romania. Liga 1: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.19, variance V = 2.50, SD = 1.58, E/V = 0.07, Min = -6, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Romania. Liga 1: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Sunday
12-05-2021
05:45:31 UTC