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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Romania. Liga 1

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1175, period of time : 02-28-2020 - 11-27-2023


Match total

Average per match E = 2.38, variance V = 2.57, SD = 1.60, E/V = 0.93, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 41.3%, draw = 27.7%, P2 = 31.1%, total 0 = 9.5%, over 2.5 = 41.4%, under 2.5 = 58.6%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Romania. Liga 1: Poisson and Total PDF
Romania. Liga 1: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.31, variance V = 1.55, SD = 1.25, E/V = 0.84, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Romania. Liga 1: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.07, variance V = 1.12, SD = 1.06, E/V = 0.95, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Romania. Liga 1: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.24, variance V = 2.78, SD = 1.67, E/V = 0.09, Min = -6, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Romania. Liga 1: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Thursday
11-30-2023
21:47:23 UTC