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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Romania. Liga 1

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 894, period of time : 02-28-2020 - 01-27-2023


Match total

Average per match E = 2.30, variance V = 2.40, SD = 1.55, E/V = 0.96, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 41.6%, draw = 26.3%, P2 = 32.1%, total 0 = 9.4%, over 2.5 = 39.7%, under 2.5 = 60.3%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Romania. Liga 1: Poisson and Total PDF
Romania. Liga 1: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.27, variance V = 1.54, SD = 1.24, E/V = 0.82, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Romania. Liga 1: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.03, variance V = 1.09, SD = 1.04, E/V = 0.95, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Romania. Liga 1: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.23, variance V = 2.86, SD = 1.69, E/V = 0.08, Min = -6, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Romania. Liga 1: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Tuesday
01-31-2023
14:37:34 UTC