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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. El Salvador. Primera Division

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 519, period of time : 03-07-2020 - 07-17-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.46, variance V = 2.62, SD = 1.62, E/V = 0.94, Min = 0, Max = 11
P1 = 42.0%, draw = 31.0%, P2 = 27.0%, total 0 = 9.8%, over 2.5 = 46.2%, under 2.5 = 53.8%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

El Salvador. Primera Division: Poisson and Total PDF
El Salvador. Primera Division: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.37, variance V = 1.34, SD = 1.16, E/V = 1.02, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

El Salvador. Primera Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.09, variance V = 1.06, SD = 1.03, E/V = 1.03, Min = 0, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

El Salvador. Primera Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.27, variance V = 2.19, SD = 1.48, E/V = 0.12, Min = -4, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

El Salvador. Primera Division: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
08-17-2022
22:45:02 UTC