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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. El Salvador. Primera Division

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 593, period of time : 03-07-2020 - 11-13-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.47, variance V = 2.67, SD = 1.64, E/V = 0.92, Min = 0, Max = 11
P1 = 43.0%, draw = 31.0%, P2 = 26.0%, total 0 = 10.1%, over 2.5 = 46.0%, under 2.5 = 54.0%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

El Salvador. Primera Division: Poisson and Total PDF
El Salvador. Primera Division: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.39, variance V = 1.40, SD = 1.19, E/V = 0.99, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

El Salvador. Primera Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.07, variance V = 1.06, SD = 1.03, E/V = 1.01, Min = 0, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

El Salvador. Primera Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.32, variance V = 2.26, SD = 1.50, E/V = 0.14, Min = -4, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

El Salvador. Primera Division: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Sunday
01-29-2023
09:22:57 UTC