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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. El Salvador. Primera Division

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 368, period of time : 03-07-2020 - 12-19-2021


Match total

Average per match E = 2.54, variance V = 2.60, SD = 1.61, E/V = 0.98, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 42.1%, draw = 30.7%, P2 = 27.2%, total 0 = 9.0%, over 2.5 = 47.8%, under 2.5 = 52.2%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

El Salvador. Primera Division: Poisson and Total PDF
El Salvador. Primera Division: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.42, variance V = 1.43, SD = 1.19, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

El Salvador. Primera Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.12, variance V = 1.04, SD = 1.02, E/V = 1.07, Min = 0, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

El Salvador. Primera Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.30, variance V = 2.34, SD = 1.53, E/V = 0.13, Min = -4, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

El Salvador. Primera Division: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Monday
01-17-2022
10:20:10 UTC