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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Armenia. Premier League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 289, period of time : 02-29-2020 - 05-11-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.29, variance V = 2.71, SD = 1.64, E/V = 0.85, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 39.8%, draw = 25.6%, P2 = 34.6%, total 0 = 11.1%, over 2.5 = 40.1%, under 2.5 = 59.9%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Armenia. Premier League: Poisson and Total PDF
Armenia. Premier League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.24, variance V = 1.78, SD = 1.33, E/V = 0.70, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Armenia. Premier League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.04, variance V = 1.10, SD = 1.05, E/V = 0.95, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Armenia. Premier League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.20, variance V = 3.05, SD = 1.75, E/V = 0.06, Min = -4, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Armenia. Premier League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Saturday
05-21-2022
14:34:24 UTC