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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Armenia. Premier League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 665, period of time : 02-29-2020 - 05-26-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.48, variance V = 2.76, SD = 1.66, E/V = 0.90, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 41.1%, draw = 22.4%, P2 = 36.5%, total 0 = 8.4%, over 2.5 = 44.8%, under 2.5 = 55.2%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Armenia. Premier League: Poisson and Total PDF
Armenia. Premier League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.30, variance V = 1.71, SD = 1.31, E/V = 0.76, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Armenia. Premier League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.18, variance V = 1.42, SD = 1.19, E/V = 0.83, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Armenia. Premier League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.12, variance V = 3.49, SD = 1.87, E/V = 0.03, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Armenia. Premier League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
05-29-2024
13:56:02 UTC