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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Armenia. Premier League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 520, period of time : 02-29-2020 - 09-16-2023


Match total

Average per match E = 2.42, variance V = 2.72, SD = 1.65, E/V = 0.89, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 40.0%, draw = 22.9%, P2 = 37.1%, total 0 = 9.2%, over 2.5 = 43.8%, under 2.5 = 56.2%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Armenia. Premier League: Poisson and Total PDF
Armenia. Premier League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.25, variance V = 1.65, SD = 1.28, E/V = 0.76, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Armenia. Premier League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.16, variance V = 1.41, SD = 1.19, E/V = 0.83, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Armenia. Premier League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.09, variance V = 3.40, SD = 1.84, E/V = 0.03, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Armenia. Premier League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Saturday
09-23-2023
06:31:04 UTC