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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Armenia. Premier League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 350, period of time : 02-29-2020 - 10-02-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.32, variance V = 2.73, SD = 1.65, E/V = 0.85, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 39.1%, draw = 25.7%, P2 = 35.1%, total 0 = 10.3%, over 2.5 = 40.9%, under 2.5 = 59.1%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Armenia. Premier League: Poisson and Total PDF
Armenia. Premier League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.24, variance V = 1.69, SD = 1.30, E/V = 0.73, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Armenia. Premier League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.09, variance V = 1.20, SD = 1.10, E/V = 0.90, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Armenia. Premier League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.15, variance V = 3.05, SD = 1.75, E/V = 0.05, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Armenia. Premier League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Monday
10-03-2022
20:06:22 UTC