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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Armenia. Premier League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 219, period of time : 02-29-2020 - 11-19-2021


Match total

Average per match E = 2.30, variance V = 2.72, SD = 1.65, E/V = 0.85, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 41.1%, draw = 24.2%, P2 = 34.7%, total 0 = 11.9%, over 2.5 = 42.5%, under 2.5 = 57.5%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Armenia. Premier League: Poisson and Total PDF
Armenia. Premier League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.26, variance V = 1.84, SD = 1.36, E/V = 0.69, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Armenia. Premier League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.04, variance V = 1.07, SD = 1.04, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Armenia. Premier League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.23, variance V = 3.10, SD = 1.76, E/V = 0.07, Min = -4, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Armenia. Premier League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Sunday
12-05-2021
03:58:01 UTC