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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Ukraine. Druha Liga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 452, period of time : 09-20-2020 - 11-28-2021


Match total

Average per match E = 2.75, variance V = 2.74, SD = 1.65, E/V = 1.01, Min = 0, Max = 11
P1 = 48.2%, draw = 19.7%, P2 = 32.1%, total 0 = 6.2%, over 2.5 = 52.6%, under 2.5 = 47.4%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Ukraine. Druha Liga: Poisson and Total PDF
Ukraine. Druha Liga: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.61, variance V = 2.09, SD = 1.44, E/V = 0.77, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Ukraine. Druha Liga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.14, variance V = 1.57, SD = 1.25, E/V = 0.73, Min = 0, Max = 11
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Ukraine. Druha Liga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.46, variance V = 4.59, SD = 2.14, E/V = 0.10, Min = -11, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Ukraine. Druha Liga: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Sunday
07-03-2022
14:04:05 UTC