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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Ukraine. Druha Liga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 654, period of time : 09-20-2020 - 11-23-2023


Match total

Average per match E = 2.85, variance V = 3.04, SD = 1.74, E/V = 0.94, Min = 0, Max = 11
P1 = 47.7%, draw = 18.7%, P2 = 33.6%, total 0 = 5.5%, over 2.5 = 54.3%, under 2.5 = 45.7%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Ukraine. Druha Liga: Poisson and Total PDF
Ukraine. Druha Liga: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.64, variance V = 2.34, SD = 1.53, E/V = 0.70, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Ukraine. Druha Liga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.22, variance V = 1.79, SD = 1.34, E/V = 0.68, Min = 0, Max = 11
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Ukraine. Druha Liga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.42, variance V = 5.23, SD = 2.29, E/V = 0.08, Min = -11, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Ukraine. Druha Liga: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
11-29-2023
08:06:02 UTC