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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Ukraine. Druha Liga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 502, period of time : 09-20-2020 - 11-13-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.77, variance V = 2.73, SD = 1.65, E/V = 1.02, Min = 0, Max = 11
P1 = 49.0%, draw = 19.7%, P2 = 31.3%, total 0 = 6.2%, over 2.5 = 53.4%, under 2.5 = 46.6%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Ukraine. Druha Liga: Poisson and Total PDF
Ukraine. Druha Liga: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.63, variance V = 2.12, SD = 1.46, E/V = 0.77, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Ukraine. Druha Liga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.14, variance V = 1.61, SD = 1.27, E/V = 0.71, Min = 0, Max = 11
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Ukraine. Druha Liga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.49, variance V = 4.74, SD = 2.18, E/V = 0.10, Min = -11, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Ukraine. Druha Liga: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Friday
03-24-2023
11:59:13 UTC