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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Greece. Super League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2470, period of time : 08-30-2014 - 05-19-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.36, variance V = 2.36, SD = 1.54, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 45.3%, draw = 27.3%, P2 = 27.5%, total 0 = 10.7%, over 2.5 = 42.8%, under 2.5 = 57.2%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Greece. Super League: Poisson and Total PDF
Greece. Super League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.38, variance V = 1.54, SD = 1.24, E/V = 0.90, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Greece. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 0.99, variance V = 1.13, SD = 1.06, E/V = 0.87, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Greece. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.39, variance V = 2.98, SD = 1.73, E/V = 0.13, Min = -6, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Greece. Super League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
11-13-2024
19:20:28 UTC