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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Greece. Super League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1920, period of time : 09-24-2016 - 05-19-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.37, variance V = 2.33, SD = 1.53, E/V = 1.02, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 44.1%, draw = 27.6%, P2 = 28.3%, total 0 = 10.5%, over 2.5 = 43.0%, under 2.5 = 57.0%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Greece. Super League: Poisson and Total PDF
Greece. Super League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.36, variance V = 1.52, SD = 1.23, E/V = 0.90, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Greece. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.01, variance V = 1.15, SD = 1.07, E/V = 0.87, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Greece. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.36, variance V = 3.01, SD = 1.74, E/V = 0.12, Min = -6, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Greece. Super League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Wednesday
09-30-2026
22:36:24 UTC