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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Greece. Super League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2578, period of time : 12-07-2011 - 12-04-2021


Match total

Average per match E = 2.30, variance V = 2.30, SD = 1.52, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 47.9%, draw = 26.1%, P2 = 26.0%, total 0 = 10.7%, over 2.5 = 40.8%, under 2.5 = 59.2%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Greece. Super League: Poisson and Total PDF
Greece. Super League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.37, variance V = 1.50, SD = 1.22, E/V = 0.92, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Greece. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 0.93, variance V = 1.06, SD = 1.03, E/V = 0.88, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Greece. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.45, variance V = 2.80, SD = 1.67, E/V = 0.16, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Greece. Super League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Sunday
12-05-2021
05:11:16 UTC