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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Argentina. League Cup

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 513, period of time : 10-30-2020 - 05-22-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.55, variance V = 2.72, SD = 1.65, E/V = 0.94, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 38.4%, draw = 28.9%, P2 = 32.8%, total 0 = 8.8%, over 2.5 = 46.6%, under 2.5 = 53.4%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Argentina. League Cup: Poisson and Total PDF
Argentina. League Cup: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.33, variance V = 1.31, SD = 1.15, E/V = 1.01, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Argentina. League Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.22, variance V = 1.44, SD = 1.20, E/V = 0.85, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Argentina. League Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.12, variance V = 2.78, SD = 1.67, E/V = 0.04, Min = -7, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Argentina. League Cup: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Monday
09-26-2022
09:22:01 UTC