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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Argentina. League Cup

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 920, period of time : 10-30-2020 - 05-05-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.35, variance V = 2.54, SD = 1.59, E/V = 0.93, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 39.6%, draw = 30.8%, P2 = 29.7%, total 0 = 11.8%, over 2.5 = 42.5%, under 2.5 = 57.5%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Argentina. League Cup: Poisson and Total PDF
Argentina. League Cup: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.27, variance V = 1.28, SD = 1.13, E/V = 0.99, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Argentina. League Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.08, variance V = 1.21, SD = 1.10, E/V = 0.89, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Argentina. League Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.19, variance V = 2.45, SD = 1.56, E/V = 0.08, Min = -7, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Argentina. League Cup: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Saturday
06-15-2024
20:25:02 UTC