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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Argentina. League Cup

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 505, period of time : 10-30-2020 - 05-09-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.55, variance V = 2.73, SD = 1.65, E/V = 0.93, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 38.4%, draw = 28.5%, P2 = 33.1%, total 0 = 8.7%, over 2.5 = 46.7%, under 2.5 = 53.3%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Argentina. League Cup: Poisson and Total PDF
Argentina. League Cup: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.32, variance V = 1.30, SD = 1.14, E/V = 1.02, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Argentina. League Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.23, variance V = 1.44, SD = 1.20, E/V = 0.85, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Argentina. League Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.10, variance V = 2.75, SD = 1.66, E/V = 0.04, Min = -7, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Argentina. League Cup: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Tuesday
05-17-2022
04:22:35 UTC