Tournament Table

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Estonia. Meistriliiga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 763, period of time : 03-06-2020 - 07-04-2024

Match total

Average per match E = 2.96, variance V = 3.45, SD = 1.86, E/V = 0.86, Min = 0, Max = 11
P1 = 40.8%, draw = 21.4%, P2 = 37.9%, total 0 = 6.0%, over 2.5 = 55.3%, under 2.5 = 44.7%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.54, variance V = 2.25, SD = 1.50, E/V = 0.68, Min = 0, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.42, variance V = 1.99, SD = 1.41, E/V = 0.72, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.12, variance V = 5.02, SD = 2.24, E/V = 0.02, Min = -8, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)