Tournament Table

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Estonia. Meistriliiga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 495, period of time : 03-06-2020 - 03-14-2023

Match total

Average per match E = 3.12, variance V = 3.78, SD = 1.94, E/V = 0.83, Min = 0, Max = 11
P1 = 42.4%, draw = 18.8%, P2 = 38.8%, total 0 = 5.1%, over 2.5 = 58.8%, under 2.5 = 41.2%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.64, variance V = 2.56, SD = 1.60, E/V = 0.64, Min = 0, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.48, variance V = 2.14, SD = 1.46, E/V = 0.69, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.16, variance V = 5.62, SD = 2.37, E/V = 0.03, Min = -8, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)