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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Estonia. Meistriliiga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 733, period of time : 03-06-2020 - 05-23-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.96, variance V = 3.47, SD = 1.86, E/V = 0.85, Min = 0, Max = 11
P1 = 40.9%, draw = 21.1%, P2 = 37.9%, total 0 = 6.1%, over 2.5 = 55.5%, under 2.5 = 44.5%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Estonia. Meistriliiga: Poisson and Total PDF
Estonia. Meistriliiga: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.54, variance V = 2.28, SD = 1.51, E/V = 0.68, Min = 0, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Estonia. Meistriliiga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.42, variance V = 1.99, SD = 1.41, E/V = 0.71, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Estonia. Meistriliiga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.13, variance V = 5.07, SD = 2.25, E/V = 0.03, Min = -8, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Estonia. Meistriliiga: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
05-29-2024
02:30:58 UTC