Tournament Table

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Estonia. Meistriliiga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 669, period of time : 03-06-2020 - 11-11-2023

Match total

Average per match E = 2.97, variance V = 3.54, SD = 1.88, E/V = 0.84, Min = 0, Max = 11
P1 = 41.0%, draw = 20.9%, P2 = 38.1%, total 0 = 6.0%, over 2.5 = 55.6%, under 2.5 = 44.4%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.56, variance V = 2.33, SD = 1.53, E/V = 0.67, Min = 0, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.41, variance V = 1.97, SD = 1.40, E/V = 0.72, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.14, variance V = 5.07, SD = 2.25, E/V = 0.03, Min = -8, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)