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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Estonia. Meistriliiga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 378, period of time : 03-06-2020 - 05-24-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 3.18, variance V = 3.68, SD = 1.92, E/V = 0.86, Min = 0, Max = 11
P1 = 42.6%, draw = 16.7%, P2 = 40.7%, total 0 = 4.8%, over 2.5 = 60.8%, under 2.5 = 39.2%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Estonia. Meistriliiga: Poisson and Total PDF
Estonia. Meistriliiga: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.65, variance V = 2.60, SD = 1.61, E/V = 0.63, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Estonia. Meistriliiga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.53, variance V = 2.10, SD = 1.45, E/V = 0.73, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Estonia. Meistriliiga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.12, variance V = 5.72, SD = 2.39, E/V = 0.02, Min = -8, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Estonia. Meistriliiga: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Thursday
05-26-2022
11:14:54 UTC