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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Albania. Abissnet Superiore

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 800, period of time : 02-28-2020 - 05-26-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.26, variance V = 2.63, SD = 1.62, E/V = 0.86, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 39.6%, draw = 28.8%, P2 = 31.6%, total 0 = 11.4%, over 2.5 = 38.4%, under 2.5 = 61.6%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Albania. Abissnet Superiore: Poisson and Total PDF
Albania. Abissnet Superiore: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.23, variance V = 1.48, SD = 1.22, E/V = 0.83, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Albania. Abissnet Superiore: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.04, variance V = 1.10, SD = 1.05, E/V = 0.94, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Albania. Abissnet Superiore: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.19, variance V = 2.54, SD = 1.59, E/V = 0.08, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Albania. Abissnet Superiore: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Tuesday
12-03-2024
08:32:55 UTC