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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 60328, period of time : 05-09-2018 - 05-09-2021


Match total

Average per match E = 2.64, variance V = 2.76, SD = 1.66, E/V = 0.96, Min = 0, Max = 13
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Poisson and Total PDF - Football
Poisson and Total CDF - Football

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.46, variance V = 1.62, SD = 1.27, E/V = 0.90, Min = 0, Max = 11
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF - Football

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.18, variance V = 1.32, SD = 1.15, E/V = 0.89, Min = 0, Max = 13
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF - Football

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.29, variance V = 3.12, SD = 1.77, E/V = 0.09, Min = -13, Max = 11
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF - Football
Page time:

Wednesday
05-12-2021
18:41:51 UTC