To the Heroes Glory!

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 79883, period of time : 06-15-2021 - 06-14-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.65, variance V = 2.80, SD = 1.67, E/V = 0.95, Min = 0, Max = 14
P1 = 43.9%, draw = 26.0%, P2 = 30.1%, total 0 = 8.0%, over 2.5 = 49.2%, under 2.5 = 50.8%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Poisson and Total PDF - Football
Poisson and Total CDF - Football

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.48, variance V = 1.66, SD = 1.29, E/V = 0.89, Min = 0, Max = 12
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF - Football

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.17, variance V = 1.33, SD = 1.15, E/V = 0.88, Min = 0, Max = 12
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF - Football

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.30, variance V = 3.18, SD = 1.78, E/V = 0.10, Min = -12, Max = 12
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF - Football
Page time:

Saturday
06-15-2024
12:04:06 UTC