Mathematical statistics of goals - Football

Graphs of sample and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 93580, period of time : 01-10-2014 - 01-09-2019

Match total

Average per match E = 2.61, variance V = 2.73, SD = 1.65, E/V = 0.96, Min = 0, Max = 12
Basic random variable - Poisson Distribution : Pois(E) and "sports" (special) Poisson distribution •••

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.48, variance V = 1.61, SD = 1.27, E/V = 0.92, Min = 0, Max = 10
Basic random variable - Poisson Distribution : Pois(E) and "sports" (special) Poisson distribution •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.13, variance V = 1.25, SD = 1.12, E/V = 0.90, Min = 0, Max = 11
Basic random variable - Poisson Distribution : Pois(E) and "sports" (special) Poisson distribution •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.35, variance V = 2.99, SD = 1.73, E/V = 0.12, Min = -11, Max = 10
Basic random variable - Skellam Distribution : Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)