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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Bolivia. Division Profesional

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 758, period of time : 01-22-2020 - 11-30-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.96, variance V = 3.07, SD = 1.75, E/V = 0.96, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 57.0%, draw = 19.8%, P2 = 23.2%, total 0 = 5.3%, over 2.5 = 58.2%, under 2.5 = 41.8%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Bolivia. Division Profesional: Poisson and Total PDF
Bolivia. Division Profesional: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.85, variance V = 2.07, SD = 1.44, E/V = 0.90, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Bolivia. Division Profesional: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.10, variance V = 1.36, SD = 1.16, E/V = 0.81, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Bolivia. Division Profesional: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.75, variance V = 3.79, SD = 1.95, E/V = 0.20, Min = -8, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Bolivia. Division Profesional: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Friday
12-02-2022
20:41:20 UTC