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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Korea Republic. K-League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2369, period of time : 12-04-2011 - 11-28-2021


Match total

Average per match E = 2.55, variance V = 2.83, SD = 1.68, E/V = 0.90, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 39.7%, draw = 28.6%, P2 = 31.7%, total 0 = 10.1%, over 2.5 = 48.7%, under 2.5 = 51.3%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Korea Republic. K-League: Poisson and Total PDF
Korea Republic. K-League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.36, variance V = 1.36, SD = 1.17, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Korea Republic. K-League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.20, variance V = 1.21, SD = 1.10, E/V = 0.99, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Korea Republic. K-League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.16, variance V = 2.32, SD = 1.52, E/V = 0.07, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Korea Republic. K-League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Sunday
12-05-2021
04:26:16 UTC