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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Korea Republic. K-League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2277, period of time : 12-01-2012 - 10-29-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.55, variance V = 2.76, SD = 1.66, E/V = 0.92, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 39.4%, draw = 28.9%, P2 = 31.7%, total 0 = 9.7%, over 2.5 = 48.6%, under 2.5 = 51.4%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Korea Republic. K-League: Poisson and Total PDF
Korea Republic. K-League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.35, variance V = 1.30, SD = 1.14, E/V = 1.04, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Korea Republic. K-League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.20, variance V = 1.22, SD = 1.10, E/V = 0.98, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Korea Republic. K-League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.15, variance V = 2.28, SD = 1.51, E/V = 0.07, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Korea Republic. K-League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Monday
12-05-2022
03:56:46 UTC