To the Heroes Glory!

# Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Azerbaijan. Premier League

## Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 283, period of time : 02-07-2020 - 10-02-2022

### Match total

Average per match E = 2.55, variance V = 2.60, SD = 1.61, E/V = 0.98, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 39.9%, draw = 26.2%, P2 = 33.9%, total 0 = 10.2%, over 2.5 = 48.4%, under 2.5 = 51.6%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)  ### Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.39, variance V = 2.02, SD = 1.42, E/V = 0.69, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) ••• ### Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.16, variance V = 1.35, SD = 1.16, E/V = 0.86, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) ••• ### Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.23, variance V = 4.14, SD = 2.03, E/V = 0.06, Min = -6, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2) Page time:

Monday
10-03-2022
20:12:00 UTC