Tournament Table

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Azerbaijan. Premier League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 424, period of time : 02-07-2020 - 05-28-2023

Match total

Average per match E = 2.57, variance V = 2.48, SD = 1.57, E/V = 1.04, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 39.9%, draw = 26.9%, P2 = 33.3%, total 0 = 9.4%, over 2.5 = 49.1%, under 2.5 = 50.9%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.37, variance V = 1.81, SD = 1.34, E/V = 0.76, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.20, variance V = 1.42, SD = 1.19, E/V = 0.84, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.17, variance V = 3.98, SD = 2.00, E/V = 0.04, Min = -6, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)