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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Azerbaijan. Premier League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 132, period of time : 02-07-2020 - 05-19-2021


Match total

Average per match E = 2.45, variance V = 2.52, SD = 1.59, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Azerbaijan. Premier League: Poisson and Total PDF
Azerbaijan. Premier League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.33, variance V = 1.72, SD = 1.31, E/V = 0.77, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Azerbaijan. Premier League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.12, variance V = 1.42, SD = 1.19, E/V = 0.79, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Azerbaijan. Premier League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.20, variance V = 3.75, SD = 1.94, E/V = 0.05, Min = -6, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Azerbaijan. Premier League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
07-28-2021
15:49:36 UTC