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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Azerbaijan. Premier League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 578, period of time : 02-07-2020 - 04-20-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.59, variance V = 2.54, SD = 1.59, E/V = 1.02, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 40.8%, draw = 26.5%, P2 = 32.7%, total 0 = 8.8%, over 2.5 = 49.5%, under 2.5 = 50.5%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Azerbaijan. Premier League: Poisson and Total PDF
Azerbaijan. Premier League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.39, variance V = 1.73, SD = 1.31, E/V = 0.80, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Azerbaijan. Premier League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.20, variance V = 1.45, SD = 1.21, E/V = 0.83, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Azerbaijan. Premier League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.19, variance V = 3.83, SD = 1.96, E/V = 0.05, Min = -6, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Azerbaijan. Premier League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Thursday
04-25-2024
04:50:43 UTC