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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Azerbaijan. Premier League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 236, period of time : 02-07-2020 - 05-12-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.51, variance V = 2.43, SD = 1.56, E/V = 1.03, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 40.3%, draw = 27.5%, P2 = 32.2%, total 0 = 10.2%, over 2.5 = 47.0%, under 2.5 = 53.0%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Azerbaijan. Premier League: Poisson and Total PDF
Azerbaijan. Premier League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.39, variance V = 1.97, SD = 1.40, E/V = 0.70, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Azerbaijan. Premier League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.13, variance V = 1.30, SD = 1.14, E/V = 0.87, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Azerbaijan. Premier League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.26, variance V = 4.11, SD = 2.03, E/V = 0.06, Min = -6, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Azerbaijan. Premier League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Thursday
05-19-2022
10:54:37 UTC