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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Germany. Bundesliga 2

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2407, period of time : 09-24-2016 - 05-28-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.88, variance V = 2.82, SD = 1.68, E/V = 1.02, Min = 0, Max = 11
P1 = 43.3%, draw = 27.0%, P2 = 29.8%, total 0 = 6.3%, over 2.5 = 56.1%, under 2.5 = 43.9%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Germany. Bundesliga 2: Poisson and Total PDF
Germany. Bundesliga 2: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.59, variance V = 1.55, SD = 1.24, E/V = 1.02, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Germany. Bundesliga 2: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.29, variance V = 1.37, SD = 1.17, E/V = 0.94, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Germany. Bundesliga 2: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.29, variance V = 3.02, SD = 1.74, E/V = 0.10, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Germany. Bundesliga 2: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
10-28-2026
09:07:14 UTC