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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Germany. Bundesliga 2

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 3069, period of time : 04-17-2014 - 04-14-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.81, variance V = 2.79, SD = 1.67, E/V = 1.01, Min = 0, Max = 11
P1 = 43.0%, draw = 27.8%, P2 = 29.3%, total 0 = 6.8%, over 2.5 = 54.0%, under 2.5 = 46.0%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Germany. Bundesliga 2: Poisson and Total PDF
Germany. Bundesliga 2: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.55, variance V = 1.53, SD = 1.24, E/V = 1.01, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Germany. Bundesliga 2: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.27, variance V = 1.36, SD = 1.17, E/V = 0.93, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Germany. Bundesliga 2: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.28, variance V = 2.98, SD = 1.73, E/V = 0.09, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Germany. Bundesliga 2: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Tuesday
04-16-2024
07:28:52 UTC