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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Germany. Bundesliga 2

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 3078, period of time : 08-03-2012 - 05-24-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.72, variance V = 2.70, SD = 1.64, E/V = 1.01, Min = 0, Max = 11
P1 = 42.0%, draw = 28.7%, P2 = 29.2%, total 0 = 7.6%, over 2.5 = 52.0%, under 2.5 = 48.0%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Germany. Bundesliga 2: Poisson and Total PDF
Germany. Bundesliga 2: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.50, variance V = 1.48, SD = 1.22, E/V = 1.01, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Germany. Bundesliga 2: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.23, variance V = 1.31, SD = 1.14, E/V = 0.94, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Germany. Bundesliga 2: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.27, variance V = 2.89, SD = 1.70, E/V = 0.09, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Germany. Bundesliga 2: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Thursday
05-26-2022
11:06:19 UTC