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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Canada. Premier League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 407, period of time : 09-21-2019 - 10-28-2023


Match total

Average per match E = 2.54, variance V = 2.39, SD = 1.55, E/V = 1.06, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 43.0%, draw = 25.8%, P2 = 31.2%, total 0 = 6.9%, over 2.5 = 47.4%, under 2.5 = 52.6%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Canada. Premier League: Poisson and Total PDF
Canada. Premier League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.34, variance V = 1.17, SD = 1.08, E/V = 1.15, Min = 0, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Canada. Premier League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.20, variance V = 1.30, SD = 1.14, E/V = 0.92, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Canada. Premier League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.14, variance V = 2.56, SD = 1.60, E/V = 0.06, Min = -5, Max = 4
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Canada. Premier League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
11-29-2023
09:18:09 UTC