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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Canada. Premier League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 172, period of time : 09-21-2019 - 11-21-2021


Match total

Average per match E = 2.57, variance V = 2.13, SD = 1.46, E/V = 1.21, Min = 0, Max = 7
P1 = 44.2%, draw = 27.3%, P2 = 28.5%, total 0 = 6.4%, over 2.5 = 47.1%, under 2.5 = 52.9%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Canada. Premier League: Poisson and Total PDF
Canada. Premier League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.44, variance V = 1.26, SD = 1.12, E/V = 1.14, Min = 0, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Canada. Premier League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.13, variance V = 1.08, SD = 1.04, E/V = 1.05, Min = 0, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Canada. Premier League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.30, variance V = 2.55, SD = 1.60, E/V = 0.12, Min = -5, Max = 4
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Canada. Premier League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Tuesday
12-07-2021
12:56:59 UTC