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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Slovakia. Super League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1915, period of time : 05-16-2012 - 05-13-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.68, variance V = 2.81, SD = 1.68, E/V = 0.95, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 48.2%, draw = 24.1%, P2 = 27.7%, total 0 = 7.9%, over 2.5 = 50.6%, under 2.5 = 49.4%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Slovakia. Super League: Poisson and Total PDF
Slovakia. Super League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.58, variance V = 1.82, SD = 1.35, E/V = 0.87, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Slovakia. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.10, variance V = 1.22, SD = 1.10, E/V = 0.90, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Slovakia. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.48, variance V = 3.27, SD = 1.81, E/V = 0.15, Min = -7, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Slovakia. Super League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Saturday
05-21-2022
15:12:03 UTC