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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Slovakia. Super League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1916, period of time : 07-12-2013 - 05-26-2023


Match total

Average per match E = 2.73, variance V = 2.87, SD = 1.69, E/V = 0.95, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 47.9%, draw = 23.5%, P2 = 28.5%, total 0 = 7.4%, over 2.5 = 51.5%, under 2.5 = 48.5%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Slovakia. Super League: Poisson and Total PDF
Slovakia. Super League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.59, variance V = 1.83, SD = 1.35, E/V = 0.87, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Slovakia. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.14, variance V = 1.26, SD = 1.12, E/V = 0.90, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Slovakia. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.45, variance V = 3.31, SD = 1.82, E/V = 0.14, Min = -7, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Slovakia. Super League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Saturday
06-03-2023
07:25:13 UTC