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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Slovakia. Super League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1912, period of time : 07-11-2014 - 05-25-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.72, variance V = 2.91, SD = 1.71, E/V = 0.93, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 47.4%, draw = 23.8%, P2 = 28.8%, total 0 = 7.7%, over 2.5 = 50.9%, under 2.5 = 49.1%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Slovakia. Super League: Poisson and Total PDF
Slovakia. Super League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.57, variance V = 1.82, SD = 1.35, E/V = 0.86, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Slovakia. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.15, variance V = 1.28, SD = 1.13, E/V = 0.90, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Slovakia. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.42, variance V = 3.30, SD = 1.82, E/V = 0.13, Min = -7, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Slovakia. Super League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Monday
06-17-2024
13:00:11 UTC