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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Slovakia. Super League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1915, period of time : 10-05-2012 - 09-30-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.69, variance V = 2.83, SD = 1.68, E/V = 0.95, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 47.8%, draw = 24.1%, P2 = 28.0%, total 0 = 7.9%, over 2.5 = 50.8%, under 2.5 = 49.2%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Slovakia. Super League: Poisson and Total PDF
Slovakia. Super League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.58, variance V = 1.82, SD = 1.35, E/V = 0.87, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Slovakia. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.11, variance V = 1.23, SD = 1.11, E/V = 0.91, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Slovakia. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.47, variance V = 3.26, SD = 1.80, E/V = 0.14, Min = -7, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Slovakia. Super League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Monday
10-03-2022
20:48:05 UTC