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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Slovakia. Super League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1908, period of time : 03-03-2012 - 11-30-2021


Match total

Average per match E = 2.68, variance V = 2.79, SD = 1.67, E/V = 0.96, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 48.2%, draw = 24.0%, P2 = 27.8%, total 0 = 7.8%, over 2.5 = 50.6%, under 2.5 = 49.4%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Slovakia. Super League: Poisson and Total PDF
Slovakia. Super League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.58, variance V = 1.80, SD = 1.34, E/V = 0.88, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Slovakia. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.10, variance V = 1.22, SD = 1.10, E/V = 0.90, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Slovakia. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.48, variance V = 3.26, SD = 1.80, E/V = 0.15, Min = -7, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Slovakia. Super League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Sunday
12-05-2021
04:24:02 UTC