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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. England. Cup

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1144, period of time : 05-17-2014 - 03-17-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.77, variance V = 2.88, SD = 1.70, E/V = 0.96, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 43.8%, draw = 24.4%, P2 = 31.8%, total 0 = 7.3%, over 2.5 = 52.4%, under 2.5 = 47.6%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

England. Cup: Poisson and Total PDF
England. Cup: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.56, variance V = 1.82, SD = 1.35, E/V = 0.86, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

England. Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.22, variance V = 1.40, SD = 1.18, E/V = 0.87, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

England. Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.34, variance V = 3.55, SD = 1.88, E/V = 0.09, Min = -7, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

England. Cup: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Thursday
04-18-2024
14:51:57 UTC