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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. England. Cup

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 913, period of time : 10-01-2016 - 05-25-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.82, variance V = 2.94, SD = 1.71, E/V = 0.96, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 44.4%, draw = 24.2%, P2 = 31.4%, total 0 = 6.7%, over 2.5 = 52.8%, under 2.5 = 47.2%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

England. Cup: Poisson and Total PDF
England. Cup: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.60, variance V = 1.93, SD = 1.39, E/V = 0.83, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

England. Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.22, variance V = 1.38, SD = 1.17, E/V = 0.89, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

England. Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.38, variance V = 3.66, SD = 1.91, E/V = 0.10, Min = -7, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

England. Cup: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
10-28-2026
09:05:18 UTC