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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Argentina. Primera Division

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 3629, period of time : 09-28-2012 - 09-26-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.28, variance V = 2.38, SD = 1.54, E/V = 0.96, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 44.1%, draw = 29.4%, P2 = 26.5%, total 0 = 11.9%, over 2.5 = 40.5%, under 2.5 = 59.5%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Argentina. Primera Division: Poisson and Total PDF
Argentina. Primera Division: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.30, variance V = 1.29, SD = 1.13, E/V = 1.01, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Argentina. Primera Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 0.98, variance V = 1.06, SD = 1.03, E/V = 0.92, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Argentina. Primera Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.32, variance V = 2.32, SD = 1.52, E/V = 0.14, Min = -5, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Argentina. Primera Division: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
09-28-2022
10:34:24 UTC