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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Argentina. Primera Division

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 3467, period of time : 08-08-2014 - 06-04-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.28, variance V = 2.38, SD = 1.54, E/V = 0.96, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 44.1%, draw = 29.1%, P2 = 26.9%, total 0 = 11.5%, over 2.5 = 40.1%, under 2.5 = 59.9%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Argentina. Primera Division: Poisson and Total PDF
Argentina. Primera Division: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.29, variance V = 1.26, SD = 1.12, E/V = 1.02, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Argentina. Primera Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 0.99, variance V = 1.09, SD = 1.05, E/V = 0.90, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Argentina. Primera Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.30, variance V = 2.34, SD = 1.53, E/V = 0.13, Min = -5, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Argentina. Primera Division: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Saturday
06-15-2024
21:36:06 UTC