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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Belarus. Vysshaya Liga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2152, period of time : 03-24-2012 - 12-05-2021


Match total

Average per match E = 2.46, variance V = 2.84, SD = 1.69, E/V = 0.86, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 42.6%, draw = 24.9%, P2 = 32.6%, total 0 = 9.9%, over 2.5 = 43.4%, under 2.5 = 56.6%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Belarusian football (soccer) championship - Vysshaya Liga: Poisson and Total PDF
Belarusian football (soccer) championship - Vysshaya Liga: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.34, variance V = 1.65, SD = 1.29, E/V = 0.81, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Belarusian football (soccer) championship - Vysshaya Liga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.12, variance V = 1.42, SD = 1.19, E/V = 0.79, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Belarusian football (soccer) championship - Vysshaya Liga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.22, variance V = 3.31, SD = 1.82, E/V = 0.07, Min = -7, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Belarusian football (soccer) championship - Vysshaya Liga: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Monday
01-17-2022
11:14:33 UTC