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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Ecuador. Serie A

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2507, period of time : 03-01-2014 - 12-17-2023


Match total

Average per match E = 2.59, variance V = 2.56, SD = 1.60, E/V = 1.01, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 46.7%, draw = 27.2%, P2 = 26.1%, total 0 = 7.7%, over 2.5 = 48.2%, under 2.5 = 51.8%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Ecuador. Serie A: Poisson and Total PDF
Ecuador. Serie A: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.52, variance V = 1.53, SD = 1.24, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Ecuador. Serie A: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.07, variance V = 1.05, SD = 1.03, E/V = 1.02, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Ecuador. Serie A: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.45, variance V = 2.60, SD = 1.61, E/V = 0.17, Min = -6, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Ecuador. Serie A: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Wednesday
02-28-2024
03:48:00 UTC