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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Kosovo. SuperLiga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 442, period of time : 09-18-2020 - 11-27-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.60, variance V = 3.11, SD = 1.76, E/V = 0.83, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 42.8%, draw = 25.1%, P2 = 32.1%, total 0 = 10.2%, over 2.5 = 46.4%, under 2.5 = 53.6%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Kosovo. SuperLiga: Poisson and Total PDF
Kosovo. SuperLiga: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.43, variance V = 1.83, SD = 1.35, E/V = 0.78, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Kosovo. SuperLiga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.17, variance V = 1.39, SD = 1.18, E/V = 0.85, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Kosovo. SuperLiga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.25, variance V = 3.32, SD = 1.82, E/V = 0.08, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Kosovo. SuperLiga: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Friday
12-02-2022
19:30:50 UTC