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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Kosovo. SuperLiga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 269, period of time : 09-18-2020 - 12-12-2021


Match total

Average per match E = 2.45, variance V = 2.98, SD = 1.73, E/V = 0.82, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 43.9%, draw = 24.5%, P2 = 31.6%, total 0 = 11.2%, over 2.5 = 43.5%, under 2.5 = 56.5%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Kosovo. SuperLiga: Poisson and Total PDF
Kosovo. SuperLiga: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.31, variance V = 1.52, SD = 1.23, E/V = 0.86, Min = 0, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Kosovo. SuperLiga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.14, variance V = 1.44, SD = 1.20, E/V = 0.79, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Kosovo. SuperLiga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.17, variance V = 2.95, SD = 1.72, E/V = 0.06, Min = -6, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Kosovo. SuperLiga: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Tuesday
01-18-2022
16:19:49 UTC