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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Bosnia and Herzegovina. Premier League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 424, period of time : 11-30-2019 - 05-29-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.35, variance V = 2.45, SD = 1.57, E/V = 0.96, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 48.6%, draw = 28.8%, P2 = 22.6%, total 0 = 9.2%, over 2.5 = 39.2%, under 2.5 = 60.8%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Bosnia and Herzegovina. Premier League: Poisson and Total PDF
Bosnia and Herzegovina. Premier League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.42, variance V = 1.53, SD = 1.24, E/V = 0.93, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Bosnia and Herzegovina. Premier League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 0.93, variance V = 1.03, SD = 1.01, E/V = 0.91, Min = 0, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Bosnia and Herzegovina. Premier League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.50, variance V = 2.65, SD = 1.63, E/V = 0.19, Min = -4, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Bosnia and Herzegovina. Premier League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Tuesday
06-28-2022
15:21:35 UTC