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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Bosnia and Herzegovina. Premier League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 665, period of time : 11-30-2019 - 09-24-2023


Match total

Average per match E = 2.44, variance V = 2.64, SD = 1.63, E/V = 0.92, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 51.0%, draw = 25.7%, P2 = 23.3%, total 0 = 8.3%, over 2.5 = 42.0%, under 2.5 = 58.0%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Bosnia and Herzegovina. Premier League: Poisson and Total PDF
Bosnia and Herzegovina. Premier League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.49, variance V = 1.59, SD = 1.26, E/V = 0.94, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Bosnia and Herzegovina. Premier League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 0.94, variance V = 1.07, SD = 1.03, E/V = 0.88, Min = 0, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Bosnia and Herzegovina. Premier League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.55, variance V = 2.67, SD = 1.63, E/V = 0.21, Min = -4, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Bosnia and Herzegovina. Premier League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Saturday
09-30-2023
16:02:55 UTC