To the Heroes Glory!

# Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. England. League 1

## Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 5424, period of time : 12-10-2011 - 12-04-2021

### Match total

Average per match E = 2.61, variance V = 2.58, SD = 1.61, E/V = 1.01, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 42.7%, draw = 26.7%, P2 = 30.6%, total 0 = 7.6%, over 2.5 = 48.9%, under 2.5 = 51.1%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)  ### Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.43, variance V = 1.44, SD = 1.20, E/V = 0.99, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) ••• ### Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.18, variance V = 1.22, SD = 1.11, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) ••• ### Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.24, variance V = 2.74, SD = 1.66, E/V = 0.09, Min = -7, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2) Page time:

Tuesday
12-07-2021
11:10:11 UTC