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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. England. League 1

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 5433, period of time : 04-21-2014 - 04-19-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.61, variance V = 2.59, SD = 1.61, E/V = 1.01, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 42.9%, draw = 26.2%, P2 = 30.9%, total 0 = 7.6%, over 2.5 = 48.9%, under 2.5 = 51.1%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

England. League 1: Poisson and Total PDF
England. League 1: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.43, variance V = 1.49, SD = 1.22, E/V = 0.96, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

England. League 1: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.18, variance V = 1.24, SD = 1.11, E/V = 0.96, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

England. League 1: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.25, variance V = 2.86, SD = 1.69, E/V = 0.09, Min = -7, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

England. League 1: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
04-24-2024
05:04:25 UTC