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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Czech Republic. Liga 1

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2122, period of time : 09-23-2016 - 06-02-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.69, variance V = 2.77, SD = 1.66, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 14
P1 = 46.1%, draw = 25.4%, P2 = 28.5%, total 0 = 7.9%, over 2.5 = 50.6%, under 2.5 = 49.4%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Czech Republic. Liga 1: Poisson and Total PDF
Czech Republic. Liga 1: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.55, variance V = 1.71, SD = 1.31, E/V = 0.91, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Czech Republic. Liga 1: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.14, variance V = 1.35, SD = 1.16, E/V = 0.84, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Czech Republic. Liga 1: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.40, variance V = 3.35, SD = 1.83, E/V = 0.12, Min = -8, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Czech Republic. Liga 1: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Wednesday
10-28-2026
09:08:12 UTC