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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Czech Republic. Liga 1

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2578, period of time : 07-27-2012 - 05-22-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.66, variance V = 2.67, SD = 1.63, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 47.8%, draw = 25.6%, P2 = 26.6%, total 0 = 7.9%, over 2.5 = 49.5%, under 2.5 = 50.5%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Czech Republic. Liga 1: Poisson and Total PDF
Czech Republic. Liga 1: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.57, variance V = 1.71, SD = 1.31, E/V = 0.92, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Czech Republic. Liga 1: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.09, variance V = 1.26, SD = 1.12, E/V = 0.87, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Czech Republic. Liga 1: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.48, variance V = 3.27, SD = 1.81, E/V = 0.15, Min = -8, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Czech Republic. Liga 1: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Tuesday
06-28-2022
14:59:41 UTC