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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Czech Republic. Liga 1

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2578, period of time : 02-22-2013 - 11-13-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.68, variance V = 2.68, SD = 1.64, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 47.6%, draw = 25.1%, P2 = 27.4%, total 0 = 7.8%, over 2.5 = 50.5%, under 2.5 = 49.5%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Czech Republic. Liga 1: Poisson and Total PDF
Czech Republic. Liga 1: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.58, variance V = 1.75, SD = 1.32, E/V = 0.90, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Czech Republic. Liga 1: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.10, variance V = 1.27, SD = 1.13, E/V = 0.87, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Czech Republic. Liga 1: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.47, variance V = 3.37, SD = 1.83, E/V = 0.14, Min = -8, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Czech Republic. Liga 1: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Thursday
12-08-2022
06:17:51 UTC