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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Ukraine. Cup

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 406, period of time : 08-07-2013 - 12-01-2021


Match total

Average per match E = 2.50, variance V = 2.74, SD = 1.66, E/V = 0.91, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 32.5%, draw = 27.3%, P2 = 40.2%, total 0 = 9.4%, over 2.5 = 42.9%, under 2.5 = 57.1%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Ukraine. Cup: Poisson and Total PDF
Ukraine. Cup: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.16, variance V = 1.53, SD = 1.24, E/V = 0.76, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Ukraine. Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.34, variance V = 1.67, SD = 1.29, E/V = 0.80, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Ukraine. Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = -0.18, variance V = 3.66, SD = 1.91, E/V = -0.05, Min = -6, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Ukraine. Cup: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Thursday
01-27-2022
12:15:57 UTC