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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Spain. La Liga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 3789, period of time : 08-18-2012 - 05-15-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.68, variance V = 2.92, SD = 1.71, E/V = 0.92, Min = 0, Max = 12
P1 = 46.0%, draw = 25.3%, P2 = 28.6%, total 0 = 7.9%, over 2.5 = 49.5%, under 2.5 = 50.5%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Spain. La Liga: Poisson and Total PDF
Spain. La Liga: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.54, variance V = 1.79, SD = 1.34, E/V = 0.86, Min = 0, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Spain. La Liga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.14, variance V = 1.30, SD = 1.14, E/V = 0.88, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Spain. La Liga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.40, variance V = 3.27, SD = 1.81, E/V = 0.12, Min = -8, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Spain. La Liga: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Thursday
05-19-2022
11:43:40 UTC