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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Ukraine. Persha Liga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1819, period of time : 09-24-2016 - 06-08-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.47, variance V = 2.66, SD = 1.63, E/V = 0.93, Min = 0, Max = 11
P1 = 44.3%, draw = 23.0%, P2 = 32.7%, total 0 = 8.2%, over 2.5 = 44.3%, under 2.5 = 55.7%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Ukraine. Persha Liga: Poisson and Total PDF
Ukraine. Persha Liga: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.37, variance V = 1.70, SD = 1.30, E/V = 0.81, Min = 0, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Ukraine. Persha Liga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.09, variance V = 1.26, SD = 1.12, E/V = 0.87, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Ukraine. Persha Liga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.28, variance V = 3.26, SD = 1.81, E/V = 0.09, Min = -8, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Ukraine. Persha Liga: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Tuesday
10-13-2026
19:47:10 UTC