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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Ukraine. Persha Liga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2311, period of time : 03-28-2014 - 11-25-2023


Match total

Average per match E = 2.43, variance V = 2.59, SD = 1.61, E/V = 0.94, Min = 0, Max = 11
P1 = 44.1%, draw = 23.4%, P2 = 32.5%, total 0 = 8.7%, over 2.5 = 43.3%, under 2.5 = 56.7%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Ukraine. Persha Liga: Poisson and Total PDF
Ukraine. Persha Liga: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.36, variance V = 1.68, SD = 1.30, E/V = 0.81, Min = 0, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Ukraine. Persha Liga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.07, variance V = 1.19, SD = 1.09, E/V = 0.90, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Ukraine. Persha Liga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.29, variance V = 3.14, SD = 1.77, E/V = 0.09, Min = -8, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Ukraine. Persha Liga: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Tuesday
02-27-2024
07:34:51 UTC