Tournament Table

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Hungary. National Championship

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 647, period of time : 02-29-2020 - 05-21-2023

Match total

Average per match E = 2.84, variance V = 2.90, SD = 1.70, E/V = 0.98, Min = 0, Max = 11
P1 = 42.5%, draw = 26.6%, P2 = 30.9%, total 0 = 7.6%, over 2.5 = 56.4%, under 2.5 = 43.6%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.55, variance V = 1.59, SD = 1.26, E/V = 0.98, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.29, variance V = 1.46, SD = 1.21, E/V = 0.88, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.26, variance V = 3.19, SD = 1.79, E/V = 0.08, Min = -7, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)