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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Hungary. National Championship

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 506, period of time : 02-29-2020 - 10-02-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.90, variance V = 3.00, SD = 1.73, E/V = 0.96, Min = 0, Max = 11
P1 = 42.7%, draw = 26.1%, P2 = 31.2%, total 0 = 7.3%, over 2.5 = 57.5%, under 2.5 = 42.5%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Hungary. National Championship: Poisson and Total PDF
Hungary. National Championship: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.57, variance V = 1.64, SD = 1.28, E/V = 0.96, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Hungary. National Championship: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.32, variance V = 1.57, SD = 1.25, E/V = 0.84, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Hungary. National Championship: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.25, variance V = 3.41, SD = 1.85, E/V = 0.07, Min = -7, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Hungary. National Championship: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Monday
10-03-2022
21:42:13 UTC