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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Hungary. National Championship

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 340, period of time : 02-29-2020 - 11-28-2021


Match total

Average per match E = 2.99, variance V = 2.93, SD = 1.71, E/V = 1.02, Min = 0, Max = 11
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Hungary. National Championship: Poisson and Total PDF
Hungary. National Championship: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.64, variance V = 1.67, SD = 1.29, E/V = 0.98, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Hungary. National Championship: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.36, variance V = 1.67, SD = 1.29, E/V = 0.81, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Hungary. National Championship: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.28, variance V = 3.75, SD = 1.94, E/V = 0.07, Min = -7, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Hungary. National Championship: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Sunday
12-05-2021
05:17:36 UTC