Tournament Table

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Hungary. National Championship

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 831, period of time : 02-29-2020 - 04-27-2024

Match total

Average per match E = 2.87, variance V = 2.95, SD = 1.72, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 11
P1 = 43.7%, draw = 25.2%, P2 = 31.2%, total 0 = 7.1%, over 2.5 = 56.9%, under 2.5 = 43.1%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.58, variance V = 1.65, SD = 1.28, E/V = 0.96, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.29, variance V = 1.49, SD = 1.22, E/V = 0.87, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.28, variance V = 3.32, SD = 1.82, E/V = 0.09, Min = -7, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)