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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Hungary. National Championship

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 784, period of time : 02-29-2020 - 02-25-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.87, variance V = 2.95, SD = 1.72, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 11
P1 = 43.9%, draw = 25.1%, P2 = 31.0%, total 0 = 7.1%, over 2.5 = 57.0%, under 2.5 = 43.0%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Hungary. National Championship: Poisson and Total PDF
Hungary. National Championship: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.58, variance V = 1.62, SD = 1.27, E/V = 0.98, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Hungary. National Championship: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.29, variance V = 1.50, SD = 1.23, E/V = 0.86, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Hungary. National Championship: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.29, variance V = 3.29, SD = 1.81, E/V = 0.09, Min = -7, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Hungary. National Championship: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Monday
03-04-2024
05:31:52 UTC