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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. China. Super League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1072, period of time : 06-10-2016 - 05-17-2021


Match total

Average per match E = 3.00, variance V = 3.04, SD = 1.74, E/V = 0.99, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

China. Super League: Poisson and Total PDF
China. Super League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.69, variance V = 1.71, SD = 1.31, E/V = 0.99, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

China. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.31, variance V = 1.39, SD = 1.18, E/V = 0.94, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

China. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.39, variance V = 3.17, SD = 1.78, E/V = 0.12, Min = -6, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

China. Super League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Sunday
06-13-2021
09:10:56 UTC