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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. China. Super League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2202, period of time : 06-29-2012 - 06-26-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.83, variance V = 2.96, SD = 1.72, E/V = 0.96, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 45.6%, draw = 26.7%, P2 = 27.7%, total 0 = 7.1%, over 2.5 = 54.3%, under 2.5 = 45.7%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

China. Super League: Poisson and Total PDF
China. Super League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.60, variance V = 1.65, SD = 1.29, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

China. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.23, variance V = 1.32, SD = 1.15, E/V = 0.93, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

China. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.37, variance V = 2.98, SD = 1.73, E/V = 0.13, Min = -6, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

China. Super League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Sunday
07-03-2022
15:27:30 UTC