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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. China. Super League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1792, period of time : 09-21-2016 - 07-13-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.92, variance V = 3.00, SD = 1.73, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 45.0%, draw = 24.6%, P2 = 30.4%, total 0 = 6.4%, over 2.5 = 56.3%, under 2.5 = 43.7%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

China. Super League: Poisson and Total PDF
China. Super League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.62, variance V = 1.83, SD = 1.35, E/V = 0.88, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

China. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.30, variance V = 1.46, SD = 1.21, E/V = 0.89, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

China. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.32, variance V = 3.58, SD = 1.89, E/V = 0.09, Min = -7, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

China. Super League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
10-28-2026
09:06:12 UTC