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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. China. Super League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2319, period of time : 05-28-2014 - 05-26-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.88, variance V = 2.99, SD = 1.73, E/V = 0.96, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 44.7%, draw = 25.5%, P2 = 29.8%, total 0 = 6.8%, over 2.5 = 55.5%, under 2.5 = 44.5%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

China. Super League: Poisson and Total PDF
China. Super League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.60, variance V = 1.76, SD = 1.32, E/V = 0.91, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

China. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.28, variance V = 1.41, SD = 1.19, E/V = 0.90, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

China. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.32, variance V = 3.35, SD = 1.83, E/V = 0.10, Min = -7, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

China. Super League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
05-29-2024
15:58:27 UTC