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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. China. Super League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2318, period of time : 04-18-2014 - 04-14-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.86, variance V = 2.96, SD = 1.72, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 44.7%, draw = 25.7%, P2 = 29.6%, total 0 = 6.8%, over 2.5 = 55.1%, under 2.5 = 44.9%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

China. Super League: Poisson and Total PDF
China. Super League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.59, variance V = 1.72, SD = 1.31, E/V = 0.92, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

China. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.27, variance V = 1.40, SD = 1.18, E/V = 0.91, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

China. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.32, variance V = 3.29, SD = 1.81, E/V = 0.10, Min = -7, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

China. Super League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Friday
04-26-2024
12:23:36 UTC