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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. China. Super League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2194, period of time : 03-10-2012 - 08-15-2021


Match total

Average per match E = 2.84, variance V = 2.99, SD = 1.73, E/V = 0.95, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

China. Super League: Poisson and Total PDF
China. Super League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.61, variance V = 1.66, SD = 1.29, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

China. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.22, variance V = 1.31, SD = 1.14, E/V = 0.94, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

China. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.39, variance V = 2.94, SD = 1.71, E/V = 0.13, Min = -6, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

China. Super League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Tuesday
09-28-2021
11:08:16 UTC