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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Denmark. Super League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2165, period of time : 07-19-2013 - 05-29-2023


Match total

Average per match E = 2.74, variance V = 2.64, SD = 1.62, E/V = 1.04, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 43.5%, draw = 26.1%, P2 = 30.4%, total 0 = 6.8%, over 2.5 = 52.2%, under 2.5 = 47.8%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Denmark. Super League: Poisson and Total PDF
Denmark. Super League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.50, variance V = 1.57, SD = 1.25, E/V = 0.96, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Denmark. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.23, variance V = 1.22, SD = 1.11, E/V = 1.01, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Denmark. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.27, variance V = 2.94, SD = 1.72, E/V = 0.09, Min = -7, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Denmark. Super League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Friday
06-02-2023
14:11:33 UTC