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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Denmark. Super League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1704, period of time : 09-22-2016 - 05-31-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.78, variance V = 2.61, SD = 1.62, E/V = 1.06, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 43.5%, draw = 25.9%, P2 = 30.6%, total 0 = 6.4%, over 2.5 = 53.8%, under 2.5 = 46.2%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Denmark. Super League: Poisson and Total PDF
Denmark. Super League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.53, variance V = 1.58, SD = 1.26, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Denmark. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.25, variance V = 1.18, SD = 1.09, E/V = 1.06, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Denmark. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.28, variance V = 2.91, SD = 1.70, E/V = 0.10, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Denmark. Super League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Saturday
10-24-2026
16:43:46 UTC