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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Denmark. Super League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2183, period of time : 12-03-2011 - 11-29-2021


Match total

Average per match E = 2.75, variance V = 2.68, SD = 1.64, E/V = 1.03, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 43.7%, draw = 25.8%, P2 = 30.5%, total 0 = 6.9%, over 2.5 = 52.6%, under 2.5 = 47.4%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Denmark. Super League: Poisson and Total PDF
Denmark. Super League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.52, variance V = 1.61, SD = 1.27, E/V = 0.94, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Denmark. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.23, variance V = 1.25, SD = 1.12, E/V = 0.99, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Denmark. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.29, variance V = 3.04, SD = 1.74, E/V = 0.09, Min = -7, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Denmark. Super League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Sunday
12-05-2021
04:01:13 UTC