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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Canada. Championship

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 79, period of time : 04-23-2014 - 07-27-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.72, variance V = 2.67, SD = 1.63, E/V = 1.02, Min = 0, Max = 7
P1 = 55.7%, draw = 21.5%, P2 = 22.8%, total 0 = 6.3%, over 2.5 = 53.2%, under 2.5 = 46.8%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Canada. Championship: Poisson and Total PDF
Canada. Championship: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.68, variance V = 1.65, SD = 1.29, E/V = 1.02, Min = 0, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Canada. Championship: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.04, variance V = 0.96, SD = 0.98, E/V = 1.08, Min = 0, Max = 3
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Canada. Championship: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.65, variance V = 2.57, SD = 1.60, E/V = 0.25, Min = -3, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Canada. Championship: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Monday
09-26-2022
10:17:45 UTC