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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Canada. Championship

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 87, period of time : 05-03-2017 - 07-11-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.83, variance V = 2.91, SD = 1.71, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 51.7%, draw = 20.7%, P2 = 27.6%, total 0 = 4.6%, over 2.5 = 55.2%, under 2.5 = 44.8%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Canada. Championship: Poisson and Total PDF
Canada. Championship: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.75, variance V = 2.35, SD = 1.53, E/V = 0.74, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Canada. Championship: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.08, variance V = 1.03, SD = 1.01, E/V = 1.05, Min = 0, Max = 4
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Canada. Championship: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.67, variance V = 3.85, SD = 1.96, E/V = 0.17, Min = -3, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Canada. Championship: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Wednesday
09-30-2026
16:32:00 UTC