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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Serbia. Super League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2937, period of time : 05-25-2014 - 05-13-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.55, variance V = 2.63, SD = 1.62, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 47.8%, draw = 22.6%, P2 = 29.7%, total 0 = 8.7%, over 2.5 = 47.9%, under 2.5 = 52.1%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Serbia. Super League: Poisson and Total PDF
Serbia. Super League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.46, variance V = 1.61, SD = 1.27, E/V = 0.90, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Serbia. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.09, variance V = 1.33, SD = 1.15, E/V = 0.82, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Serbia. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.37, variance V = 3.26, SD = 1.80, E/V = 0.11, Min = -7, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Serbia. Super League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Monday
05-27-2024
11:59:21 UTC