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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Serbia. Super League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2855, period of time : 02-27-2013 - 11-13-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.51, variance V = 2.59, SD = 1.61, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 48.3%, draw = 23.0%, P2 = 28.7%, total 0 = 9.0%, over 2.5 = 46.4%, under 2.5 = 53.6%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Serbia. Super League: Poisson and Total PDF
Serbia. Super League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.45, variance V = 1.61, SD = 1.27, E/V = 0.90, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Serbia. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.05, variance V = 1.29, SD = 1.14, E/V = 0.82, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Serbia. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.40, variance V = 3.21, SD = 1.79, E/V = 0.12, Min = -7, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Serbia. Super League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Thursday
02-09-2023
02:09:11 UTC