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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Serbia. Super League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2328, period of time : 09-24-2016 - 06-03-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.59, variance V = 2.53, SD = 1.59, E/V = 1.03, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 48.6%, draw = 21.6%, P2 = 29.9%, total 0 = 7.5%, over 2.5 = 49.4%, under 2.5 = 50.6%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Serbia. Super League: Poisson and Total PDF
Serbia. Super League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.49, variance V = 1.64, SD = 1.28, E/V = 0.91, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Serbia. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.10, variance V = 1.32, SD = 1.15, E/V = 0.84, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Serbia. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.39, variance V = 3.39, SD = 1.84, E/V = 0.12, Min = -7, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Serbia. Super League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
10-28-2026
09:06:38 UTC