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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Serbia. Super League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1508, period of time : 07-22-2016 - 05-19-2021


Match total

Average per match E = 2.59, variance V = 2.51, SD = 1.58, E/V = 1.03, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Serbia. Super League: Poisson and Total PDF
Serbia. Super League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.53, variance V = 1.69, SD = 1.30, E/V = 0.91, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Serbia. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.06, variance V = 1.30, SD = 1.14, E/V = 0.82, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Serbia. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.47, variance V = 3.46, SD = 1.86, E/V = 0.14, Min = -7, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Serbia. Super League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Thursday
06-24-2021
14:39:40 UTC