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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Serbia. Super League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2892, period of time : 11-23-2013 - 11-22-2023


Match total

Average per match E = 2.52, variance V = 2.61, SD = 1.62, E/V = 0.96, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 47.9%, draw = 22.9%, P2 = 29.2%, total 0 = 9.0%, over 2.5 = 47.0%, under 2.5 = 53.0%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Serbia. Super League: Poisson and Total PDF
Serbia. Super League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.45, variance V = 1.60, SD = 1.27, E/V = 0.90, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Serbia. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.07, variance V = 1.32, SD = 1.15, E/V = 0.81, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Serbia. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.37, variance V = 3.23, SD = 1.80, E/V = 0.12, Min = -7, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Serbia. Super League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
11-29-2023
08:06:50 UTC