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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Moldova. National Division

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1129, period of time : 11-23-2013 - 03-17-2023


Match total

Average per match E = 2.63, variance V = 3.21, SD = 1.79, E/V = 0.82, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 43.7%, draw = 20.1%, P2 = 36.2%, total 0 = 8.6%, over 2.5 = 48.0%, under 2.5 = 52.0%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Moldova. National Division: Poisson and Total PDF
Moldova. National Division: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.45, variance V = 2.39, SD = 1.55, E/V = 0.61, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Moldova. National Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.19, variance V = 1.79, SD = 1.34, E/V = 0.66, Min = 0, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Moldova. National Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.26, variance V = 5.15, SD = 2.27, E/V = 0.05, Min = -10, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Moldova. National Division: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Saturday
03-25-2023
08:12:00 UTC