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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Moldova. National Division

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 906, period of time : 09-21-2016 - 05-18-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.72, variance V = 3.15, SD = 1.78, E/V = 0.86, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 43.6%, draw = 21.5%, P2 = 34.9%, total 0 = 7.5%, over 2.5 = 50.1%, under 2.5 = 49.9%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Moldova. National Division: Poisson and Total PDF
Moldova. National Division: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.50, variance V = 2.33, SD = 1.53, E/V = 0.64, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Moldova. National Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.22, variance V = 1.87, SD = 1.37, E/V = 0.65, Min = 0, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Moldova. National Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.28, variance V = 5.25, SD = 2.29, E/V = 0.05, Min = -10, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Moldova. National Division: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Friday
10-09-2026
05:04:32 UTC