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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Spain. Primera Division RFEF

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 688, period of time : 08-27-2021 - 05-08-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.37, variance V = 2.38, SD = 1.54, E/V = 0.99, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 46.4%, draw = 26.0%, P2 = 27.6%, total 0 = 9.7%, over 2.5 = 44.3%, under 2.5 = 55.7%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Spain. Primera Division RFEF: Poisson and Total PDF
Spain. Primera Division RFEF: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.36, variance V = 1.47, SD = 1.21, E/V = 0.93, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Spain. Primera Division RFEF: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.00, variance V = 1.09, SD = 1.04, E/V = 0.92, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Spain. Primera Division RFEF: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.36, variance V = 2.74, SD = 1.65, E/V = 0.13, Min = -7, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Spain. Primera Division RFEF: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Tuesday
05-17-2022
04:11:31 UTC