To the Heroes Glory!

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Spain. Primera Division RFEF

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2293, period of time : 08-27-2021 - 06-23-2024

Match total

Average per match E = 2.28, variance V = 2.35, SD = 1.53, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 44.7%, draw = 28.2%, P2 = 27.0%, total 0 = 10.9%, over 2.5 = 41.0%, under 2.5 = 59.0%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.31, variance V = 1.34, SD = 1.16, E/V = 0.98, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 0.97, variance V = 1.01, SD = 1.00, E/V = 0.96, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.34, variance V = 2.34, SD = 1.53, E/V = 0.15, Min = -7, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Page time:

Tuesday
08-06-2024
17:11:50 UTC