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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Switzerland. Super League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1790, period of time : 10-01-2012 - 09-11-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 3.02, variance V = 2.89, SD = 1.70, E/V = 1.04, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 43.1%, draw = 25.1%, P2 = 31.8%, total 0 = 5.5%, over 2.5 = 58.5%, under 2.5 = 41.5%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Switzerland. Super League: Poisson and Total PDF
Switzerland. Super League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.66, variance V = 1.81, SD = 1.35, E/V = 0.91, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Switzerland. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.36, variance V = 1.38, SD = 1.17, E/V = 0.98, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Switzerland. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.30, variance V = 3.49, SD = 1.87, E/V = 0.09, Min = -7, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Switzerland. Super League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Monday
10-03-2022
20:27:38 UTC