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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Switzerland. Super League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1801, period of time : 05-20-2012 - 05-12-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.99, variance V = 2.89, SD = 1.70, E/V = 1.04, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 43.0%, draw = 25.0%, P2 = 31.9%, total 0 = 5.4%, over 2.5 = 57.7%, under 2.5 = 42.3%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Switzerland. Super League: Poisson and Total PDF
Switzerland. Super League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.65, variance V = 1.83, SD = 1.35, E/V = 0.90, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Switzerland. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.34, variance V = 1.34, SD = 1.16, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Switzerland. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.30, variance V = 3.46, SD = 1.86, E/V = 0.09, Min = -7, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Switzerland. Super League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Saturday
05-21-2022
14:53:57 UTC