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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Switzerland. Super League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1810, period of time : 06-01-2013 - 05-29-2023


Match total

Average per match E = 3.04, variance V = 2.92, SD = 1.71, E/V = 1.04, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 42.4%, draw = 25.9%, P2 = 31.7%, total 0 = 5.2%, over 2.5 = 58.8%, under 2.5 = 41.2%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Switzerland. Super League: Poisson and Total PDF
Switzerland. Super League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.67, variance V = 1.82, SD = 1.35, E/V = 0.92, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Switzerland. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.37, variance V = 1.37, SD = 1.17, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Switzerland. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.30, variance V = 3.45, SD = 1.86, E/V = 0.09, Min = -7, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Switzerland. Super League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Thursday
06-01-2023
01:24:36 UTC