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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Switzerland. Super League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1853, period of time : 04-12-2014 - 04-07-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 3.04, variance V = 2.92, SD = 1.71, E/V = 1.04, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 42.9%, draw = 26.0%, P2 = 31.1%, total 0 = 5.0%, over 2.5 = 58.8%, under 2.5 = 41.2%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Switzerland. Super League: Poisson and Total PDF
Switzerland. Super League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.67, variance V = 1.82, SD = 1.35, E/V = 0.92, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Switzerland. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.36, variance V = 1.36, SD = 1.17, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Switzerland. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.31, variance V = 3.45, SD = 1.86, E/V = 0.09, Min = -7, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Switzerland. Super League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Saturday
04-13-2024
02:32:38 UTC