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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Sweden. Allsvenskan

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2409, period of time : 05-10-2012 - 05-09-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.78, variance V = 2.68, SD = 1.64, E/V = 1.04, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 43.7%, draw = 25.8%, P2 = 30.5%, total 0 = 6.7%, over 2.5 = 53.8%, under 2.5 = 46.2%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Sweden. Allsvenskan: Poisson and Total PDF
Sweden. Allsvenskan: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.57, variance V = 1.67, SD = 1.29, E/V = 0.94, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Sweden. Allsvenskan: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.22, variance V = 1.24, SD = 1.12, E/V = 0.98, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Sweden. Allsvenskan: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.35, variance V = 3.16, SD = 1.78, E/V = 0.11, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Sweden. Allsvenskan: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Thursday
05-19-2022
12:01:35 UTC