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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Sweden. Allsvenskan

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2401, period of time : 10-05-2012 - 10-01-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.79, variance V = 2.65, SD = 1.63, E/V = 1.05, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 43.9%, draw = 25.8%, P2 = 30.4%, total 0 = 6.6%, over 2.5 = 53.8%, under 2.5 = 46.2%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Sweden. Allsvenskan: Poisson and Total PDF
Sweden. Allsvenskan: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.57, variance V = 1.64, SD = 1.28, E/V = 0.96, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Sweden. Allsvenskan: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.22, variance V = 1.27, SD = 1.13, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Sweden. Allsvenskan: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.35, variance V = 3.16, SD = 1.78, E/V = 0.11, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Sweden. Allsvenskan: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Monday
10-03-2022
21:16:50 UTC