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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Sweden. Allsvenskan

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1187, period of time : 07-23-2016 - 07-19-2021


Match total

Average per match E = 2.77, variance V = 2.64, SD = 1.62, E/V = 1.05, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Sweden. Allsvenskan: Poisson and Total PDF
Sweden. Allsvenskan: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.53, variance V = 1.64, SD = 1.28, E/V = 0.94, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Sweden. Allsvenskan: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.24, variance V = 1.33, SD = 1.15, E/V = 0.93, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Sweden. Allsvenskan: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.29, variance V = 3.30, SD = 1.82, E/V = 0.09, Min = -5, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Sweden. Allsvenskan: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
07-28-2021
17:11:27 UTC