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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Sweden. Allsvenskan

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2417, period of time : 07-05-2014 - 06-02-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.82, variance V = 2.68, SD = 1.64, E/V = 1.05, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 44.2%, draw = 24.3%, P2 = 31.5%, total 0 = 6.4%, over 2.5 = 54.9%, under 2.5 = 45.1%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Sweden. Allsvenskan: Poisson and Total PDF
Sweden. Allsvenskan: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.57, variance V = 1.70, SD = 1.30, E/V = 0.93, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Sweden. Allsvenskan: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.25, variance V = 1.31, SD = 1.15, E/V = 0.95, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Sweden. Allsvenskan: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.33, variance V = 3.33, SD = 1.83, E/V = 0.10, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Sweden. Allsvenskan: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Monday
06-17-2024
13:40:28 UTC