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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. France. Ligue 2

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 3704, period of time : 08-02-2013 - 05-26-2023


Match total

Average per match E = 2.38, variance V = 2.51, SD = 1.59, E/V = 0.94, Min = 0, Max = 11
P1 = 42.5%, draw = 29.8%, P2 = 27.7%, total 0 = 10.4%, over 2.5 = 42.1%, under 2.5 = 57.9%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

France. Ligue 2: Poisson and Total PDF
France. Ligue 2: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.32, variance V = 1.30, SD = 1.14, E/V = 1.02, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

France. Ligue 2: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.05, variance V = 1.14, SD = 1.07, E/V = 0.92, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

France. Ligue 2: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.27, variance V = 2.36, SD = 1.54, E/V = 0.12, Min = -6, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

France. Ligue 2: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Friday
06-02-2023
22:38:27 UTC