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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. France. Ligue 2

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 3723, period of time : 12-02-2011 - 11-22-2021


Match total

Average per match E = 2.38, variance V = 2.50, SD = 1.58, E/V = 0.95, Min = 0, Max = 11
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

France. Ligue 2: Poisson and Total PDF
France. Ligue 2: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.33, variance V = 1.31, SD = 1.14, E/V = 1.02, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

France. Ligue 2: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.04, variance V = 1.10, SD = 1.05, E/V = 0.95, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

France. Ligue 2: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.29, variance V = 2.32, SD = 1.52, E/V = 0.12, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

France. Ligue 2: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Sunday
12-05-2021
05:29:46 UTC