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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. France. Ligue 2

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 3723, period of time : 10-05-2012 - 10-03-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.38, variance V = 2.52, SD = 1.59, E/V = 0.94, Min = 0, Max = 11
P1 = 42.3%, draw = 30.2%, P2 = 27.5%, total 0 = 10.6%, over 2.5 = 42.3%, under 2.5 = 57.7%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

France. Ligue 2: Poisson and Total PDF
France. Ligue 2: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.33, variance V = 1.31, SD = 1.15, E/V = 1.01, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

France. Ligue 2: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.05, variance V = 1.13, SD = 1.06, E/V = 0.93, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

France. Ligue 2: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.28, variance V = 2.36, SD = 1.54, E/V = 0.12, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

France. Ligue 2: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Monday
10-03-2022
21:56:07 UTC