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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Guatemala. Liga Nacional

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 955, period of time : 03-15-2020 - 02-22-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.42, variance V = 2.72, SD = 1.65, E/V = 0.89, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 50.8%, draw = 29.2%, P2 = 20.0%, total 0 = 10.8%, over 2.5 = 43.5%, under 2.5 = 56.5%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Guatemala. Liga Nacional: Poisson and Total PDF
Guatemala. Liga Nacional: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.52, variance V = 1.74, SD = 1.32, E/V = 0.88, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Guatemala. Liga Nacional: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 0.89, variance V = 0.91, SD = 0.96, E/V = 0.98, Min = 0, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Guatemala. Liga Nacional: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.63, variance V = 2.59, SD = 1.61, E/V = 0.24, Min = -4, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Guatemala. Liga Nacional: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Tuesday
02-27-2024
17:59:37 UTC