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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Guatemala. Liga Nacional

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 651, period of time : 03-15-2020 - 11-30-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.41, variance V = 2.67, SD = 1.63, E/V = 0.90, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 49.5%, draw = 30.3%, P2 = 20.3%, total 0 = 10.8%, over 2.5 = 42.9%, under 2.5 = 57.1%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Guatemala. Liga Nacional: Poisson and Total PDF
Guatemala. Liga Nacional: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.50, variance V = 1.73, SD = 1.31, E/V = 0.87, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Guatemala. Liga Nacional: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 0.91, variance V = 0.94, SD = 0.97, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Guatemala. Liga Nacional: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.59, variance V = 2.66, SD = 1.63, E/V = 0.22, Min = -4, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Guatemala. Liga Nacional: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Monday
12-05-2022
05:37:11 UTC