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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Guatemala. Liga Nacional

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 352, period of time : 03-15-2020 - 11-28-2021


Match total

Average per match E = 2.36, variance V = 2.51, SD = 1.58, E/V = 0.94, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 47.4%, draw = 31.3%, P2 = 21.3%, total 0 = 11.1%, over 2.5 = 42.6%, under 2.5 = 57.4%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Guatemala. Liga Nacional: Poisson and Total PDF
Guatemala. Liga Nacional: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.45, variance V = 1.62, SD = 1.27, E/V = 0.90, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Guatemala. Liga Nacional: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 0.91, variance V = 0.86, SD = 0.93, E/V = 1.06, Min = 0, Max = 4
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Guatemala. Liga Nacional: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.55, variance V = 2.44, SD = 1.56, E/V = 0.22, Min = -4, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Guatemala. Liga Nacional: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Tuesday
12-07-2021
13:13:45 UTC