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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Guatemala. Liga Nacional

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 505, period of time : 03-15-2020 - 05-11-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.40, variance V = 2.78, SD = 1.67, E/V = 0.86, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 48.7%, draw = 29.7%, P2 = 21.6%, total 0 = 11.5%, over 2.5 = 42.8%, under 2.5 = 57.2%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Guatemala. Liga Nacional: Poisson and Total PDF
Guatemala. Liga Nacional: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.49, variance V = 1.84, SD = 1.36, E/V = 0.81, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Guatemala. Liga Nacional: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 0.91, variance V = 0.94, SD = 0.97, E/V = 0.96, Min = 0, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Guatemala. Liga Nacional: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.59, variance V = 2.78, SD = 1.67, E/V = 0.21, Min = -4, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Guatemala. Liga Nacional: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Saturday
05-21-2022
16:38:40 UTC